Fed Rate Rise Would Smoke Derivatives – Bill Holter

TND Videocast Spotlight: Greg Hunter’s USAWatchdog.com 

Financial writer Bill Holter says don’t expect the economy to get better anytime soon.  Holter says, “We’re probably in recession again . . . the economy has been quite weak.  It looks to me we could be breaking down in the stock market.  This is going to be a really critical week.”

On the Federal Reserve raising interest rates, Holter contends, “From a credibility standpoint, the Fed has to raise rates.  In a real world, I don’t think they can raise rates.  If they raise rates, my guess within two weeks you will see all the markets close.  A rate rise, even a quarter of a point in Fed Funds, would smoke derivatives.  You would see a chain reaction, and we would probably see a chain reaction even before they raise rates.”

Holter contends the banking system is interconnected and very weak and explains his point by saying, “Look at what happened when the Swiss dropped their peg to the euro.  That basically has tanked the Austrian banking system.  The Austrian banking system is on the verge of collapse because they lent in Swiss Francs.  The strength in the Swiss Franc makes those loans much more difficult to pay back.  That’s thrown the entire (Austrian) banking system out of kilter.  If you do that with the dollar and you raise rates, and the dollar gets strong or spikes up 5% or 10% overnight, what’s that going to do to banks all over the world?  That’s going to create a smoking black hole of derivatives.” 

On the possibility banks bailing themselves out with depositor money, or so-called bank bail-ins, Holter predicts, “I think it’s highly likely.  Once this goes, it’s going to go really quickly.  I’ve said this before, this will go completely around the world within 48 hours.  Would they bail-in the banks within 48 hours?  Probably not, but our banks would not be open, and we would probably have a banking holiday.  That means your credit card, ATM or nothing works.”

Click here to read the rest of Greg Hunter’s write-up and to access the active comment section.

After the Interview:

Holter is a prolific writer and has commentary and analysis on almost every business day of the week.  If you want to follow his work, please click here.  There are also other writers offering free commentary and analysis on MilesFranklin.com.

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About Greg Hunter:

Mr. Hunter is the producer and creator of Greg Hunter’s USAWatchdog.com. The site’s slogan is “analyzing the news to give you a clear picture of what’s really going on.” The site will keep an eye on the government, your financial interests and cut through the media spin. Greg Hunter’s USAWatchdog.com is neither Democrat nor Republican, Liberal or Conservative. Before creating and producing the site, Greg spent nearly 9 years as a network and investigative correspondent. He worked for ABC News and Good Morning America for nearly 6 years. Most recently, Greg worked for CNN for shows such as Paula Zahn Now, American Morning and various CNN business shows. Greg encurages feedback and welcomes comments. You may also support USAWatchdog.com by clicking here to donate.  Reprinted with permission.    

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