“No Virginia, There Will Be No Rate Hikes This Year” – Dave Kranzler

Fed has been signaling it will raise rates for two years now. Same powerplay as #grexit scare. Won’t happen. System is broken till a Reset.

— willem middelkoop (@wmiddelkoop) June 17, 2015

TND Guest Contributor:  Dave Kranzler |

Yes!  Someone else who gets it.  Every week we getting these dopes from the Fed coming out and saying “hey man, the Fed is behind the curve – time to raise rates.”  But the evenbigger dopes are the dopes who believe the hot air.  And now supposedly the Fed is on track to raise rates twice still this year.

The Fed has been on target to raise rates several times a year ever since Bernanke’s infamous “Taper” speech back in May 2013.   Last time I looked, the flag flying above the White House was not a Japanese flag, but the Federal Reserve, Wall Street, financial media stage show sure looks a lot like Kabuki Theatre – quite literally, “the art of singing and dancing.”

Here’s one of the MAJOR reasons that the Fed won’t touch this rates – not this year and not next year:    Housing Starts Unexpectedly Plunge 11.1%

May housing starts dropped 11.1% in May from April, with single family unit starts falling 5.4% and multi-family units dropping 18.5% (data from the link at the top). Although the month to month data reporting in the housing starts series has been volatile, there has been a definitive downtrend in starts since the beginning of 2013.

You can read the rest of this article I wrote for Seeking Alpha here:   Housing:  Look Out Below

A housing market that is on the precipice of re-collapse is just one of the reasons that the Fed will not be raising rates this year.   The reason the Fed won’t be raising rates next year is because we may well have experienced a systemic reset by then…

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About Dave Kranzler:

 I spent many years working in various analytic jobs and trading on Wall Street. For nine of those years, I traded junk bonds for Bankers Trust. I have an MBA from the University of Chicago, with a concentration in accounting and finance. My goal is to help people understand and analyze what is really going on in our financial system and economy. You can follow my work and contact me via my website Investment Research Dynamics.  Occasionally, I publish on Seeking Alpha too. As a co-founder and principal of Golden Returns Capital, LLC Mr. Kranzler co-manages the Precious Metals Opportunity Fund, a metals and mining stock investment fund.

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