Russian Defense Industry: Future Market Analysis with 2020 forecasts

Dallas, TX, February  2015 -  This report offers detailed analysis of the Russian defense industry with market size forecasts covering the next five years. This report will also analyze factors that influence demand for the industry, key market trends, and challenges faced by industry participants.

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Over the historic period, Russia’s defense expenditure registered a growth rate of 13.95%,increasing from US$52.5billion in 2011 to US$88.6 billion in 2015. Russia’s military expenditure, valued at US$88.6billion in 2015, is expected to increase to US$152.1 billion by 2020, registering a CAGR of 10.93% over the forecast period. Russian military expenditure will be driven by the modernization of defense systems, large defense procurement projects, and an increase in defense exports. The Defense Ministry is expected to procure space-based C4ISR, infrastructure construction, land-based C4ISR, transport aircraft, and multi-role aircraft.

Russian defense industry market size and drivers: detailed analysis of the Russian defense industry during 2016-2020, including highlights of the demand drivers and growth stimulators for the industry. It also provides a snapshot of the country’s expenditure and modernization patterns. Budget allocation and key challenges: insights into procurement schedules formulated within the country and a breakdown of the defense budget with respect to the army, navy, and air force. It also details the key challenges faced by defense market participants within the country. Porter’s Five Force analysis of the Russian defense industry: analysis of the market characteristics by determining the bargaining power of suppliers, bargaining power of buyers, threat of substitution, intensity of rivalry, and barriers to entry. Import and Export Dynamics: analysis of prevalent trends in the country’s imports and exports over the last five years. Market opportunities: details of the top five defense investment opportunities over the coming 10 years. Competitive landscape and strategic insights: analysis of the competitive landscape of the Russian defense industry. It provides an overview of key players, together with insights such as key alliances, strategic initiatives, and a brief financial analysis.

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Table of Contents

1 Introduction
1.1 What is this Report About?
1.2 Definitions
1.3 Summary Methodology
1.4 SDI Terrorism Index
1.5 About Strategic Defence Intelligence

2 Executive Summary

3 Market Attractiveness and Emerging Opportunities
3.1 Defense Market Size Historical and Forecast
3.1.1 Russia’s defense budget to grow at a CAGR of 10.93% to value US$152.1 billion by 2020
3.1.2 Military modernization and defense exports to drive defense expenditure over the forecast period
3.1.3 Defense expenditure as a percentage of GDP is expected to average 8.28% over the forecast period
3.2 Analysis of Defense Budget Allocation
3.2.1 The majority of Russia’s defense budget is allocated to revenue expenditure
3.2.2 Russia’s capital expenditure expected to reach US$57.1billion by 2020
3.2.3 Per capita defense expenditure expected to increase over the forecast period
3.3 Homeland Security Market Size and Forecast
3.3.1 Russian homeland security spending forecast to reach US$62.1billion by 2020
3.3.2 Border security and fight against cyber attacks to factor growth in the homeland security market
3.3.3 Strategic Defense Initiative (SDI) Terrorism Index considers Russia a “highly affected” region
3.3.4 Russia faces a significant threat from terrorists
3.4 Benchmarking with Key Global Markets
3.4.1 Russian defense budget growth to be higher than the majority of large spenders during 2015-2019
3.4.2 Russia is world’s third largest defense spender
3.4.3 Russia allocated 5.8% of its GDP to defense in 2015
3.4.4 Russia is “highly affected” from acts of terrorism
3.5 Market Opportunities: Key Trends and Growth Stimulators
3.5.1 Space based-C4ISR
3.5.2 Infrastructure Construction
3.5.3 Land Based C4ISR
3.5.4 Transport Aircraft
3.5.5 Multi-role Aircraft

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