Quarantine Isn’t Enough: Wuhan Coronavirus R0 Is so High That Even the Most Draconian Lockdown Measures Can’t Contain It +Video
By: Ethan Huff / Natural News
The latest basic reproductive number (R0) estimates for the Wuhan coronavirus (CoVid-19) suggest that this thing is a whole lot more infectious than initially believed. It’s become so serious, in fact, that even communist China’s implementation of medical martial law is reportedly unable to contain it.
Some of the latest science into the outbreak reveals the number of people being infected by the Wuhan coronavirus (CoVid-19) is doubling every 2.4 days, with an R0 of between 4.7 and 6.6. If this is accurate, things are about to get a whole lot worse before they ever have the chance to get better.
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A paper published in the journal medRxiv, which is associated with the British Medical Journal, suggests that quarantine and contract tracing alone “may not be effective” to fully contain the Wuhan coronavirus (CoVid-19), and that “early, strong control measures are needed.”
What these early, strong control measures might entail isn’t fully spelled out in this paper, though it does make mention of how the full closure of Wuhan changed the dynamics of other surrounding areas that have had to worry slightly less about the import of new cases.
Further, the paper estimates that the growth rate of the Wuhan coronavirus (CoVid-19) has decreased from 0.29 per day to about 0.14 per day since January 30. Based on the paper’s calculations, this decreases the disease’s R0 from an earlier range of between 4.7 to 6.6, to 2.3 to 3.0.
Again, these are merely estimates, and as we’ve seen in recent days, the numbers are constantly changing. But the point is that, even with the most draconian of containment measures, the infection rate is still alarmingly high and there’s really no stopping this virus until it eventually runs its course.
Part of the problem is that the Wuhan coronavirus appears to be able to infect others even while still in incubation, meaning infected patients transmitting it to others aren’t necessarily even showing symptoms themselves. Listen below as Mike Adams, the Health Ranger, discusses this on an episode of The Health Ranger Report. (Hear more daily podcasts at Brighteon.com/channel/hrreport )
Don’t be fooled: The Wuhan coronavirus (CoVid-19) outbreak is only just getting started
Despite this estimated decrease in its R0, the Wuhan coronavirus (CoVid-19) is “still rapidly growing,” according to the paper, and has spread to more than 20 different countries as of February 5. And how it will spread in these other countries in the coming days “remains to be seen.”
In other words, just because the rate of growth appears to be slowing in Wuhan doesn’t mean that the same is true everywhere else. Chances are there will be spikes in cases that begin to emerge well outside of China as the first few cases balloon into a few more cases, which in turn skyrocket, potentially.
Even with a lowered R0, of let’s say 3.0, this still means that the Wuhan coronavirus (CoVid-19) will spread to three additional people for every one person it infects, which means exponential growth. Unless its R0 can be brought down to zero or below, the Wuhan coronavirus (CoVid-19) is only just getting started, so don’t let your guard down quite yet.
The jury is also out as to how deadly the Wuhan coronavirus (CoVid-19) really is, with the official numbers not necessarily matching what’s actually happening.
“If the value of R0 is as high in other countries, our results suggest that active and strong population-wide social distancing efforts, such as closing down transportation system(s), schools, discouraging travel, etc., might be needed to reduce the overall contacts to contain the spread of the virus,” the paper concludes.
More coronavirus news is available at Outbreak.news.
You can also catch other episodes of the H.R. Report at Brighteon.com.
Sources for this article include:
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Whistler Blowers, Insiders
LOL – What A KNOB
Real Experts state – there are probably…. 10X as many people infected – that have symptoms TOO MILD TO EVEN NOTICE
- than those that are being recorded
3/4 of a MILLION infected – but – SYMPTOMS ARE TOO MILD TO EVEN NOTICE !!!
…………………………………………………………………………………………………
>>> BREAKING >>> MUST READ >>> BREAKING >>> MUST READ !!
UK GOVERNMENT >>> OUTS >>> POPEYE – PRATTchett & LISA HAVEN >>> As FEAR MONGERORS – SPREADING FEAR PORN !!
…………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………….
17 Feb Public Health England and the Department for Education have…… issued headteachers and childcare providers …with fresh guidance
Schools and nurseries ….do not need to close…. or send pupils home
…. in the event of…. contact with someone …. suspected of having … the coronavirus,
according to new guidelines to be issued to schools across the UK this week.
For those who are in contact …. with a suspected case ….in a childcare or educational setting,
>>>> no restrictions…. or special control measures ….. are required
https://www.theguardian.com/world/2020/feb/16/headteachers-are-told-to-stay-calm-and-keep-schools-open
For most – THE Actual Symptoms are JUST ….
- A RUNNY NOSE
- A COUGH
- A SORE THROAT / Fever (high temperature).
The vast majority of patients – at least 97 per cent, – will recover from these >>>> without any issues…. or medical help.
……………………………………………….
LOS ANGELES TIMES
Thousands of people in China and elsewhere ….have been infected ….. but have had…
>>>> such mild reactions that >>>> no one even noticed,
- said Dr. Tom Inglesby, director of the Center for Health Security at the Johns Hopkins Bloomberg School of Public Health.
https://www.latimes.com/science/story/2020-01-24/china-coronavirus-panic
The UK’s BBC News COMMENTS – Re INFECTED – HAVING SUCH MILD REACTIONS >>> NO ONE NOTICED >>> FROM THE LARGEST STUDY TO DATE (The paper by the CCDC, released on Monday and published in the Chinese Journal of Epidemiology, looked at more than 44,000 confirmed cases of Covid-19 in China as of 11 February
………………………………….
– So Known Infections 72,436 x 10 = 724,000 Who Will Have Had Symptoms – Too Mild – To Notice – YES >> ¾ Million
…………………………………..
QUOTE >>> Re The Known 72,436 infections
- Scientists have estimated there could be …..10 times as many people infected ….. as are ending up in the official statistics.
That means the….. overall death rate IN THE REST OF CHINA (Outside Hubei) is likely to be
>>> lower than the 0.4% (rest of China) reported in this study (Making the death rate potentially ONLY 0.04)
https://www.bbc.co.uk/news/world-asia-china-51540981
………………………….……………………………..
AND ALSO
EXPERT OPINION FROM – HEALTHLINE.COM
The bottom line
Extensive news coverage of the new coronavirus outbreak …. can make the situation
>>> seem much worse …. than it actually is.
>>> Influenza virus …. still causes>>>> far more >>> illness and death worldwide.
EXPERTS also emphasize – that this outbreak >>>> is significantly …… less dangerous
>>>> than previous….. coronavirus epidemics…. . like SARS and MERS.
https://www.healthline.com/health-news/dont-freak-out-about-the-coronavirus-just-yet#The-bottom-line
…………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………..
THE NATIONAL POST
A recent article by University of Hong scientists published >>>>> by the journal Lancet states …..
Based on the number of reported deaths when the paper was published Friday,
Coronavirus would actually produce….. a mortality rate of >>>> just 0.2 per cent — akin to that >>> of regular influenzas.
“We don’t freak out about seasonal flu, …..we experience it every year,”
said Matthew Miller, a microbiologist who studies viruses at McMaster University.
“The people most likely to die from seasonal flu are …….the elderly and the very young
… The same is very likely to be true …….with this …… new coronavirus outbreak.
The people who are at highest risk …..are the people at the highest risk >>>> for any type of infection.”
There seems to be so much…. active disinformation spread,” said Falzarano.
“Things coming out …. >>>> are just nonsense, ….. and then are picked up ….by the media.”
https://nationalpost.com/health/new-coronavirus-may-be-no-more-dangerous-than-the-flu-despite-worldwide-alarm-experts
Experts DAILY MAIL NATIONAL NEWSPAPER 10th Feb 2020
What does the virus do to you? …… What are the symptoms?
Once someone has caught the COVID-19 virus it may take between two and 14 days, or even longer, for them to show any symptoms.
IF … and when …they do become ill, …. typical signs include
- A RUNNY NOSE
- A COUGH
- A SORE THROAT / Fever (high temperature).
The vast majority of patients – at least 97 per cent, ….. based on available data – will recover from these >>>> without any issues or medical help.
https://www.dailymail.co.uk/health/article-7987001/Death-toll-killer-coronavirus-10-TIMES-higher-average-Chinas-Hubei-province.html
SYMPTOMS A Runny Nose, Sore Throat, A Cough & A Raised Temperature & OVER 97% Fully Recover With NO Medical Help.
So There You Have It – CoronaVirus – Ranks the lowest of the low, the bottom of the bottom
in a weakest of the weak league of it’s own – when it comes to viral threat & dangers
The REST is Just CLICK BAIT & FEAR PORN PROPAGANDA
Clickporn fearbate a-hole = Popeye.
Shit title. Do better.
BINNED.