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M-class solar flare measuring M2.3 erupted today – G2 class geomagnetic storm in progress

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An M-class solar flare erupted on October 8, 2012 at 11:17 UTC. The event started at 11:05, peaked at 11:17 and ended at 11:23 UTC. The source of this flare is probably a new region on Sun’s northeastern limb rotating into Earth’s view. Coronal Mass Ejection (CME) was observed but it is directed to the east and away from Earth. There is 5% chance for another M-class event and 1% chance for an X-class. We’ll most likely see more Earth directed activity in the coming days.

Meanwhile, there is Geomagnetic storming here on Earth caused by incoming CME from October 5 eruption. Solar wind conditions in the wake of the CME are favorable for polar geomagnetic activity. High-latitude sky watchers should be alert for auroras, especially during the hours around local midnight.

Latest report for Geomagnetic activity issued at 11:44 UTC states Geomagnetic K-index of 6:

Space Weather Message Code: ALTK06
Serial Number: 296
Issue Time: 2012 Oct 08 1144 UTC

ALERT: Geomagnetic K-index of 6
Threshold Reached: 2012 Oct 08 1138 UTC
Synoptic Period: 0900-1200 UTC

Active Warning: Yes
NOAA Scale: G2 – Moderate

Potential Impacts: Area of impact primarily poleward of 55 degrees Geomagnetic Latitude.

Induced Currents - Power grid fluctuations can occur. High-latitude power systems may experience voltage alarms.

Spacecraft - Satellite orientation irregularities may occur; increased drag on low Earth-orbit satellites is possible.

Radio - HF (high frequency) radio propagation can fade at higher latitudes. Aurora – Aurora may be seen as low as New York to Wisconsin to Washington state.

Space weather overview look – SWS

Space Weather Station – Overview look on October 8, 2012 at 12:36 UTC

Coronal mass ejection impact forecast

Coronal mass ejection impact forecast

 New region rotating into view

An approaching and flare producing region is rotating into view off the Sun’s northeastern limb.

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  2. CME impact & G3 class geomagnetic storm – October 1, 2012 The September 28th Coronal Mass Ejection (CME) impacted Earth’s magnetic…

M-class solar flare measuring M2.3 erupted today – G2 class geomagnetic storm in progress



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