Read the Beforeitsnews.com story here. Advertise at Before It's News here.

By The Watchers
Contributor profile | More stories

Story Views
Now:
Last hour:
Last 24 hours:
Total:

Moderate solar flare measuring M2.8 peaked from Region 1613

Tuesday, November 13, 2012 19:32

% of readers think this story is Fact. Add your two cents.

Moderate solar flare measuring M2.8, at it’s peak, erupted from Region 1613 at 20:54 UTC, November 13, 2012. A 10cm Radio Burst was associated with the event, this can be indicative of significant radio noise in association with a solar flare.

This is the same region that already produced three M-class events in past 24 hours, this is now its fourth. At 23:28 UTC, November 12, 2012 Region 1613 peaked with M2.0 solar flare, then on November 13, 2012 at 02:04 an impulsive M6.0 flare peaked followed by M2.5 at 05:50 UTC and M2.8 at 20:54 UTC. At least two minor Coronal Mass Ejections are visible in Lasco C2 imagery, they don’t appear directed toward Earth.

NOAA/SWPC forecasters estimate 65% chance for M-class solar flares and 15% chance for X-class solar flares, valid from November 14 – November 16, 2012.

***

Space Weather Message Code: SUM10R
Serial Number: 568
Issue Time: 2012 Nov 13 2141 UTC

SUMMARY: 10cm Radio Burst
Begin Time: 2012 Nov 13 2052 UTC
Maximum Time: 2012 Nov 13 2053 UTC
End Time: 2012 Nov 13 2054 UTC
Duration: 2 minutes
Peak Flux: 220 sfu
Latest Penticton Noon Flux: 146 sfu

Description: A 10cm radio burst indicates that the electromagnetic burst associated with a solar flare at the 10cm wavelength was double or greater than the initial 10cm radio background. This can be indicative of significant radio noise in association with a solar flare. This noise is generally short-lived but can cause interference for sensitive receivers including radar, GPS, and satellite communications.

***

NOAA/SWPC issued extended warning for geomagnetic storming levels. K-index of 4 is expected at least until 06:00 UTC, November 14, 2012. Aurora may be visible at high latitudes such as Canada and Alaska.

Space Weather Message Code: WARK04
Serial Number: 2028
Issue Time: 2012 Nov 13 2059 UTC

EXTENDED WARNING: Geomagnetic K-index of 4 expected
Extension to Serial Number: 2027
Valid From: 2012 Nov 13 1533 UTC
Now Valid Until: 2012 Nov 14 0600 UTC
Warning Condition: Persistence

Potential Impacts: Area of impact primarily poleward of 65 degrees Geomagnetic Latitude.
Induced Currents - Weak power grid fluctuations can occur.
Aurora - Aurora may be visible at high latitudes such as Canada and Alaska.

Absorption prediction – Global map – 1dB (ABS)

Joint USAF/NOAA Solar Geophysical Activity Report and Forecast
SDF Number 318 Issued at 2200Z on 13 Nov 2012

IA. Analysis of Solar Active Regions and Activity from 12/2100Z to 13/2100Z:

Solar activity has been at high levels for the past 24 hours. Region 1613 (S23E31) has developed a Delta magnetic configuration and produced multiple M-class flares with associated CMEs. The largest solar event of the period was a M6 event observed at 13/0204Z from Region 1613. Regions 1610 (S24W23) and 1611 (N12W00) have Beta Gamma magnetic configurations. There are currently 6 numbered sunspot regions on the disk. No CMEs observed during the period are expected to be geoeffective.

IB. Solar Activity Forecast: Solar activity is expected to be at moderate levels on days one, two, and three (14 Nov, 15 Nov, 16 Nov).

IIA. Geophysical Activity Summary 12/2100Z to 13/2100Z: The geomagnetic field has been at quiet to active levels for the past 24 hours. Solar wind speed, as measured by the ACE spacecraft, reached a peak speed of 504 km/s at 13/0111Z. Total IMF reached 22.8 nT at 13/0053Z. The maximum southward component of Bz reached -19.5 nT at 12/2338Z. ACE data indicated a shock arrival at 12/2216Z. A sudden impulse was observed at 12/2316Z (16 nT, as measured by the Boulder USGS magnetometer). IIB. Geophysical Activity Forecast: The geomagnetic field is expected to begin at active levels early on day 1 (14 Nov) as CME effects subside. Quiet to unsettled levels are expected on days 1 and 2 (14, 15 Nov) due to effects from a negative polarity coronal hole high speed stream. On day 3 (16 Nov), conditions are expected to return to mostly quiet levels. Protons have a slight chance of reaching alert threshold on days one, two, and three (14 Nov, 15 Nov, 16 Nov).

III. Event probabilities 14 Nov-16 Nov

Class M 65/65/65
Class X 15/15/15
Proton 10/10/10
PCAF green

Featured image: NOAA/SWPC

Moderate solar flare measuring M2.8 peaked from Region 1613

Solar flare reaching M1.4 and two weak Earth-directed CMEs detected around Sunspot 1476 Solar activity has been at moderate levels for the past 24…
Long duration solar flare eruption measuring M1.2 took place at 13:10 UTC A long duration solar flare eruption measuring M1.2 took place…

2012-11-13 19:20:37

Source: http://thewatchers.adorraeli.com/2012/11/13/moderate-solar-flare-measuring-m2-8-peaked-from-region-1613/

Source:

Before It’s News® is a community of individuals who report on what’s going on around them, from all around the world.

Anyone can join.
Anyone can contribute.
Anyone can become informed about their world.

"United We Stand" Click Here To Create Your Personal Citizen Journalist Account Today, Be Sure To Invite Your Friends.

Before It’s News® is a community of individuals who report on what’s going on around them, from all around the world. Anyone can join. Anyone can contribute. Anyone can become informed about their world. "United We Stand" Click Here To Create Your Personal Citizen Journalist Account Today, Be Sure To Invite Your Friends.

LION'S MANE PRODUCT

Try Our Lion’s Mane WHOLE MIND Nootropic Blend 60 Capsules

Mushrooms are having a moment. One fabulous fungus in particular, lion’s mane, may help improve memory, depression and anxiety symptoms. They are also an excellent source of nutrients that show promise as a therapy for dementia, and other neurodegenerative diseases. If you’re living with anxiety or depression, you may be curious about all the therapy options out there — including the natural ones.Our Lion’s Mane WHOLE MIND Nootropic Blend has been formulated to utilize the potency of Lion’s mane but also include the benefits of four other Highly Beneficial Mushrooms. Synergistically, they work together to Build your health through improving cognitive function and immunity regardless of your age. Our Nootropic not only improves your Cognitive Function and Activates your Immune System, but it benefits growth of Essential Gut Flora, further enhancing your Vitality.

Our Formula includes: Lion’s Mane Mushrooms which Increase Brain Power through nerve growth, lessen anxiety, reduce depression, and improve concentration. Its an excellent adaptogen, promotes sleep and improves immunity. Shiitake Mushrooms which Fight cancer cells and infectious disease, boost the immune system, promotes brain function, and serves as a source of B vitamins. Maitake Mushrooms which regulate blood sugar levels of diabetics, reduce hypertension and boosts the immune system. Reishi Mushrooms which Fight inflammation, liver disease, fatigue, tumor growth and cancer. They Improve skin disorders and soothes digestive problems, stomach ulcers and leaky gut syndrome. Chaga Mushrooms which have anti-aging effects, boost immune function, improve stamina and athletic performance, even act as a natural aphrodisiac, fighting diabetes and improving liver function. Try Our Lion’s Mane WHOLE MIND Nootropic Blend 60 Capsules Today. Be 100% Satisfied or Receive a Full Money Back Guarantee. Order Yours Today by Following This Link.

Comments

Visits:	1,708,481,952
Stories:	8,450,474