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This Crisis Is 30 Times Bigger Than Greece

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Graham Summers / Phoenix Capital Research

Japan has fueled much of this latest rally in stocks, driving the marketing first with promises of money printing by the Prime Minister in November 2012, and then a massive $1.2 trillion QE program announced by the Bank of Japan last month.

The result of this has been a collapse in the Yen and a 70%+ rally in the Nikkei in the last six months.

This has been the fundamental driver of this latest risk on rally. Remember that the US Federal Reserve has begun changing its language regarding QE and has even hinted at tapering QE before the year-end. So it’s the Bank of Japan who’s in the driver’s seat for asset prices today.

If Japan has been bad for the Yen and good for stocks… it’s been an absolute disaster for Japanese bonds. Since the Bank of Japan announced its latest QE program, Japanese Government bonds have triggered circuit breaks no less than four times due to incredible volatility.

And last week, they briefly violated their multi-year trendline.

 

Many investors are probably looking at this chart and thinking, “who cares what happens to Japanese bonds… why does a trendline violation matter here?”

First and foremost, Japan is the second largest bond market in the world. If Japan’s sovereign bonds continue to fall, pushing rates higher, then there has been a tectonic shift in the global financial system. Remember the impact that Greece had on asset prices? Greece’s bond market is less than 3% of Japan’s in size.

For multiple decades, Japanese bonds have been considered “risk free.” As a result of this, investors have been willing to lend money to Japan at extremely low rates. This has allowed Japan’s economy, the second largest in the world, to putter along marginally.

So if Japanese bonds begin to implode, this means that:

1)   The second largest bond market in the world is entering a bear market (along with commensurate liquidations and redemptions by institutional investors around the globe).

2)   The second largest economy in the world will collapse (along with the impact on global exports).

Both of these are truly epic problems for the financial system. But even worse than any of them is the following

If Japan’s bond market implodes, then global Central Bank efforts to hold the system together will have proven a failure.

Japan is truly the leader amongst global Central Banks when it comes to progressive and accommodating policy. The Bank of Japan has kept interest rates at ZERO for nearly two decades. It’s also launched NINE QE plans adding up to an amount equal to nearly 25% of Japanese GDP. So far it’s managed to do this with minimal consequences.

Central Bankers around the world have monitored these efforts and believed that they can implement similar plans. So if Japan’s bond market begins to collapse, then it’s Game. Set. Match. for Central Banker policy. And what follows will make Lehman look like a joke.

Investors, take note… the financial system is sending us major warnings…

If you are not already preparing for a potential market collapse, now is the time to be doing so.

I’ve been warning subscribers of my Private Wealth Advisory that we were heading for a dark period in the markets. I’ve outlined precisely how this will play out as well as which investments will profit from another bout of Deflation.

As I write this, all of them are SOARING.

Are you ready for another Collapse in the markets? Could your portfolio stomach another Crash? If not, take out a trial subscription to Private Wealth Advisory and start protecting your hard earned wealth today!

We produced 72 straight winning trades (and not a SINGLE LOSER) during the first round of the EU Crisis. We’re now preparing for more carnage in the markets… having just seen another SIX trade winning streak…

To join us…

Click Here Now!

Best Regards,

Graham Summers

http://gainspainscapital.com/2013/05/20/3543/



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    Total 3 comments
    • Mohsen Samii

      It has become obvious, printing money has become a way of life and as long as no one pulls out of the club then it will one of the solutions to keep things going along , so make hay while the sun shines.

      • Chris Jacob

        I agree. This thing ain’t coming down, why should it, 99% is recycled back to the elites.

        Dow will cross 20,000 very soon. Its guaranteed, so that all the rest 99% of humanity feel more bad for themselves. This is how they play the game to screw us more.

        They will kill us with inflation…1 bread costing 100 dollars when Dow reaches 20,000. These are just numbers now, 80% of sticks is anyways owned by the people who print money and rest 20% won’t mean anything due to inflation…

    • Chris Jacob

      Dude…They could print money for ever and the world will be same. The have mathematical equations that you never seen in public life.

      If you want to become rich, just invest in goddamm elite mafia controlled stocks, ‘cos it ain’t coming down. Guaranteed.

      Dow will reach 20,000 while the Americans suffer with higher inflation and corporate profits triple.

      Just invest in stocks , make money and then help fellow Americans with that money…If you hell, you only have tools of hell to come out of it…

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