February 22, 2016, Weather and Climate Report - NOAA Doubles Down
Written by Sig Silber
NOAA has issued their updated Seasonal Outlook and it calls for El Nino Conditions in March and April of this year even though January and February behaved more like a La Nina than an El Nino, especially for the West. Two months of a forecast that did not work out has had no impact on their Update. The maps issued with this Seasonal Outlook are almost identical to those used with the January 21 Seasonal Outlook. It is possible that as this El Nino weakens, the NOAA statistical tools will work better as the sample size of El Ninos of comparably strength will increase.
Source: http://econintersect.com/pages/weather/weather.php?post=201602224412
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