French Elections: Another “Unthinkable” Result Coming Up?

by Mish Shedlock, Mish Talk:

Recent PresiTrack Polls for French national elections show eurosceptic Marine le Pen is not only in the lead for round one, but she has significantly closed the gap in round two as well.

Round One French Presidential Election

Round One Five Key Points

Le Pen in Front
Fillon Stabilized at Worst
Macron Tied with Fillon
Hamon in Decline
Melenchon in Decline

Round Two Macron vs. Le Pen

Round Two Macron vs. Le Pen Five Key Points

Macron Peaked on February 8: 66%
Le Pen Bottomed on February 8 at 34%
Macron at 58% on February 22
Le Pen at 42% on February 22
Eight Point Swing to Le Pen in 14 days

Round Two Fillon vs. Le Pen

Round Two Fillon vs. Le Pen Five Key Points

Fillon Peaked on February 8: 62%
Le Pen Bottomed on February 8 at 38%
Fillon at 57% on February 22
Le Pen at 43% on February 22
Five Point Swing to Le Pen in 14 days

Who would you like to see elected President of the Republic on May 7?

Voter Preference Two Key Points

Le Pen Topped Macron on February 22, Taking the Lead for the First Time.
Macron Down Five Percentage Points Since February 7.

Election Issues

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