The “Wind and Solar Will Save Us” Delusion
The “Wind and Solar Will Save Us” story is based on a long list of misunderstandings and apples to oranges comparisons. Somehow, people seem to believe that our economy of 7.5 billion people can get along with a very short list of energy supplies. This short list will not include fossil fuels. Some would exclude nuclear, as well. Without these energy types, we find ourselves with a short list of types of energy — what BP calls Hydroelectric, Geobiomass (geothermal, wood, wood waste, and other miscellaneous types; also liquid fuels from plants), Wind, and Solar.
Unfortunately, a transition to such a short list of fuels can’t really work. These are a few of the problems we encounter:
[1] Wind and solar are making extremely slow progress in helping the world move away from fossil fuel dependence.
In 2015, fossil fuels accounted for 86% of the world’s energy consumption, and nuclear added another 4%, based on data from BP Statistical Review of World Energy. Thus, the world’s “preferred fuels” made up only 10% of the total. Wind and solar together accounted for a little less than 2% of world energy consumption.
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Geothermal is another type of renewable power not mentioned in the article. In the longer term, improvements in battery storage and efficient step-up transformers may lead to systems with much more distributed power generation than we have at present, making the electrical grid less brittle and less dependent on long range transmission, and potentially accelerating the date at which general purpose electrical vehicles become cheaper overall than gasoline/diesel powered vehicles. Once that point is reached, market forces will start to drive larger rates of conversion away from fossil fuels for ground transportation.
One can see how geothermal can be used for residential heating all year round even in a climate like Minnesota: http://minnesotageothermalheatpumpassociation.com/geothermal/earth-loop-options/ At present, the cost is high and it is messy to retrofit into a yard. These things could change if it was offered as a utility installed by sewer/water depts. and if the cost was offset by generating power to sell and use for other purposes all year round in the enhanced, distributed electrical system.