Bringing Order Out Of COVID-19 Chaos, Part 2
Written by John Furlan
Taming the Disease
Data Limitations of Epidemiological Models Make Projections a Moving Target
According to the IHME model I mentioned above, it now shows peak deaths per day of 3,130 on April 16, ten days from now, the same day as peak hospital resource use. Like national total deaths, these also are probably down from earlier estimates, though I don’t have the data to confirm that. This estimate is nationally, there are wide variations in projections by state available on the site, which I discuss below.
Source: http://econintersect.com/pages/opinion/opinion.php?post=202004101627
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