2013 Fantasy Outlook: Wes Welker
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Wes Welker | Denver Broncos | WR
2013 Experience: 10th Season
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Fantasy Football Outlook: Maybe Welker isn’t the biggest receiver on the block but at the end of the year we look up and he’s one of the best slot receivers in the game and usually in the top five in receptions.
Perhaps we will see Welker’s receptions fall under 100 in Denver because of the presence of Eric Decker and Demaryius Thomas but I wouldn’t bet on him falling lower than 90 in 2013.
The Broncos are going to run an offense with a tempo much like that of the Patriots from a year ago and because Welker was with that team a year ago, he should do just fine, and early on. Peyton Manning won’t have a problem using Welker as a security blanket receiver much like we saw Tom Brady over the years, and I expect him to hold WR2 production in PPR leagues.
That said he’s probably not worth targeting in 10-team leagues until your WR3 option unless your panning to drop down for your second receiver. Going as the 17th receiver off the board in standard ADP results, I think Welker is still going too high in those leagues because we can’t take advantage of his reception total.
| Receptions | Yards | TD | |
| 2013 Projected Stats | 90 | 1,017 | 6 |
2013 Fantasy Football Draft Prep: ADP's | Rankings | Mocks | Cheat Sheets + Auctions
| Receiving | |||||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Year | Age | Tm | G | GS | Rec | Yds | TD | Lng | |||||||||
| 2004 | 23 | 2TM | 15 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | |||||||
| 2005 | 24 | MIA | 16 | 1 | 29 | 434 | 15.0 | 0 | 47 | 1.8 | 27.1 | ||||||
| 2006 | 25 | MIA | 16 | 2 | 67 | 687 | 10.3 | 1 | 38 | 4.2 | 42.9 | ||||||
| 2007 | 26 | NWE | 16 | 13 | 112 | 1175 | 10.5 | 8 | 42 | 7.0 | 73.4 | ||||||
| 2008* | 27 | NWE | 16 | 14 | 111 | 1165 | 10.5 | 3 | 64 | 6.9 | 72.8 | ||||||
| 2009*+ | 28 | NWE | 14 | 13 | 123 | 1348 | 11.0 | 4 | 58 | 8.8 | 96.3 | ||||||
| 2010* | 29 | NWE | 15 | 11 | 86 | 848 | 9.9 | 7 | 35 | 5.7 | 56.5 | ||||||
| 2011*+ | 30 | NWE | 16 | 15 | 122 | 1569 | 12.9 | 9 | 99 | 7.6 | 98.1 | ||||||
| 2012* | 31 | NWE | 16 | 12 | 118 | 1354 | 11.5 | 6 | 59 | 7.4 | 84.6 | ||||||
To help you get ready for draft day you will notice articles for ADP advice, cheat sheets, mock drafts and projected stats for Wes Welker here. During the season, you can also find regular weekly ranking articles at this section as well.
Summer of 2012: Fantasy Projections
In a contract dispute, Wes Welker will miss mini camps but don’t expect him to hold out deep into training camp. One of the better possession receivers in the game, Welker is a top ten receiver to target in the first four rounds of your draft.
One area I’ve knocked Welker for is his touchdown total in the past, but since Randy Moss left the team he’s compiled 16 touchdowns in the past two years.
Expect Welker’s touchdown total to fall back to around seven, as Brandon Lloyd has been added to the receiving core, and 2011 was likely a career year for Tom Brady’s slot man.
| Receptions | Yards | TD | |
| 2012 Projected Stats | 107 | 1,263 | 7 |
Summer of 2011: Fantasy Projections
Last year was going to be a challenge for Wes Welker as he suffered an ACL tear in a week seventeen game against the Texans the year before. With an injury like that, it takes a player until the second year after to return to as close to normal as he was before the injury. While Welker continued to be a factor in the Patriots’ offense, his overall numbers clearly weren’t what he had previous to the injury.
The good news for Welker fans is that he’s feeling great this off-season and should be primed for a return to his normal 100 plus receiving total in his contract season. Who knows if Welker will be back with the Patriots after this year (will be thirty one next May), but he’s going to be a main target in the passing game this year as Tom Brady’s favorite receiver on the field.
Coming into the summer, Welker’s ADP value on Mock Draft Central has him listed as the 23rd receiver (57.81 overall) going in standard leagues and the 19th receiver (46.21 overall) taken in PPR leagues. This puts Welker at a great value for what he can give your team and especially in PPR leagues as he can be had as a late No.2 receiver and should perform as a clear top 12 in the end.
8/2011 Update - The addition of Chad Ochocinco will no doubt help Tom Brady, but look for Deion Branch to be the receiver most effected by the veterans presence and not Welker. No.83 is still Brady’s go to receiver when he’s in trouble or looking for a first down over the middle.
| Receptions | Yards | TD | |
| 2011 Projected Stats | 101 | 1,116 | 6 |
2010 Preview
Wes Welker is off to a good start for the 2010 season and is proving to be a better fantasy option than I thought he would be this offseason. I’m still concerned about Welker holding up all season but for now you should feel good about his odds of help your squad.
2010 Fantasy Football Outlook
2009 Fantasy Year In Review: Wes Welker was having another fabulous season in yardage and receptions as he posted 123 catches in only fourteen games. Sadly, Welker tore his ACL in the final game of the year against the Texans.
Audio: WR Wes Welker | 2010 NFL Fantasy Football Player Rankings
2010 NFL Fantasy Football Player Rankings: Welker didn’t seem like he was going to be a very relevant name for fantasy in 2010 as he had a long road to recover from his surgery on his knee in February. While Welker still has much to prove in his rehab, he is back on the field in June.
This is almost amazing to see as his injury is nothing small and for a player like Welker, he relys on his cutting ability all the time. Putting stress on the knee’s is a constant for a receiver and Welker is one of the hardest working wide outs in all of football. It will be interesting to see when this stud player will be back on the team for 2010.
At this time, Welker is flying up our board as he may have a shot to return with the Patriots in the first month of the season. Don’t expect Welker to be a full strength, but he should be a help to your team and especially if you’re in a PPR league.
Assets
- Great Quarterback
- Strong Possesion Receiver
Liabilities
- Health Concerns (May Not Be Ready To Start Season)
- Touchdowns
Source: http://www.fantasy-info.com/2013/06/2013-fantasy-football-outlook-wes-welker/
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