Inflation + Deflation = Stagflation ~ Lower Real Estate Values!
Of the major economic powers, China is the only economy that is facing true inflation as I see it and China is primed for a hard landing – at best. The US, EU, and UK face stagflation. After the AP excerpt below is a clip from my recent keynote presentation at the ING Real Estate Valuation seminar in Amsterdam on this very timely topic.
LONDON (AP) — Rising inflation around the world weighed on stock markets Friday as investors wondered how fast central banks will raise borrowing costs to counter the threat of rising prices, while the euro was undermined by ongoing worries that Greece will have to restructure its massive debts.
Figures Friday reinforced market expectations that both the European Central Bank and the People’s Bank of China will soon be raising interest rates again to counter rising inflation.
In China, figures showed consumer prices rose 5.4 percent in the year to March, up from February’s 4.9 percent. The increase was largely driven by surging food costs and represents a setback for the government, which has boosted interest rates four times since October to cool prices.
Analysts expect the People’s Bank to enact further measures in the days to come in response to those figures.
Here is a collection of my archived posts on the topic:
- Economic contractions AND rising prices, dare Reggie utter the “I” word – Enter a global phenomenon
- Reggie Middleton’s Take on Investing for Inflation, pt. 1
- Reggie Middleton’s Take on Investing for Inflation, pt. 2
- Reggie Middleton’s Take on Investing for Inflation, pt. 3
- Reggie Middleton’s Take on Investing for Inflation, pt. 4
- Reggie Middleton’s Take on Investing for Inflation, pt. 5
- More on my stagflation rant
- Deflation, Inflation or Stagflation – You Be the Judge!
- Is My Warning of the Risks of a Stagflationary Environment Coming to Fore?
- China’s Most Expensive Export: Price Inflation
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