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THE NEXT BIG TRADE IDEA: EDUCATION STOCKS $CECO, $COCO, $ESI, $APOL

Friday, June 21, 2013 20:33

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LONG/SHORT EQUITY TRADING:
WHERE TECHNICALS MEET FUNDAMENTALS

$10.00 Per Edition http://www.tinyurl.com/tnbti

THE NEXT BIG TRADE IDEA™

A JOHN CHALEKSON NEWSLETTER

$CECO, $COCO

ANALYZING EDUCATION STOCKS

LOOKING AT CECO, COCO, ESI, APOL

TWO EDUCATION STOCKS THAT CURRENTLY LOOK ATTRACTIVE TO ADD TO PORTFOLIO ARE CECO AND COCO, EACH WITH MARKET CAPITALIZATIONS OF 180-200MM EACH.

WE WERE POUNDING THE TABLE ON ESI WHEN IT WAS IN THE 12 DOLLAR RANGE, AND WITHIN A FEW MONTHS WENT TO AROUND 26 PER SHARE.

TODAY, CECO AND COCO REPRESENT LOW RISK ON THE DOWNSIDE AND APPEAR TO BE CONSOLIDATING AND FORMING REVERSAL OF TREND.

THE FUNDAMENTALS FOR BOTH APPEAR TO SUGGEST THAT THEY ARE UNDERVALUED WHEN YOU LOOK AT THEIR NET TANGIBLE BOOK VALUES AND OTHER KEY STATISTICS. WE WILL JUST EXAMINE THE TWO SNAPSHOTS AND COMPARE THE CHARTS OF THE OTHER 2.

COMMENTARY & NOTES

THIS WEEK WAS PRETTY TOUGH. THE 25K MODEL PORTFOLIO™ CAME BACK IN TO AROUND $120K FROM $130K AT THE START. SOME KEY ADDITIONS INCLUDE SOME SYNTHETIC POSITIONS USING OPTIONS AND SOME REPOSITIONING AND ROTATION OF CAPITAL.

FEDERAL RESERVE DECISIONS AND OTHER POLICY MAKING VARIABLES THAT CAUSE VOLATILITY IN THE MARKETS ARE TO BE VIEWED AS GOOD THINGS. THE MARKET IS LIKE A VOTING MACHINE, NOT A WEIGHING MACHINE.

“PRICE IS WHAT YOU PAY, VALUE IS WHAT YOU GET”

THE 25K MODEL PORTFOLIO™
KEY POSITION ADDITIONS & CHANGES:

BBRY	RESEARCH IN MOTION LTD	1,300	$13.775	$17,907.50	Trade \| Chain
BBRY Jul13 14 Call	Research In Motion Ltd	10	$1.05	$1,050.00	Trade \| Chain
BBRY Jul13 15 Call	Research In Motion Ltd	10	$0.71	$710.00	Trade \| Chain

CLVS

CLOVIS ONCOLOGY INC

-300

$65.05

($19,515.00)

Trade | Chain

NAV	NAVISTAR INTERNATIONAL CORP	-400	$26.99	($10,796.00)	Trade \| Chain
NFLX	NETFLIX INC	-100	$216.90	($21,690.00)	Trade \| Chain

RSH	RADIOSHACK CORP	2,500	$3.17	$7,925.00	Trade \| Chain
RSH Aug13 3 Call	RadioShack Corp	60	$0.45	$2,700.00	Trade \| Chain

SSRI	SILVER STANDARD RESOURCES INC	4,000	$6.33	$25,320.00	Trade \| Chain
SSRI Jul13 6 Call	Silver Standard Resources Inc	50	$0.60	$3,000.00	Trade \| Chain
SSRI Jul13 7 Call	Silver Standard Resources Inc	35	$0.20	$700.00	Trade \| Chain
SSRI Jul13 8 Call	Silver Standard Resources Inc	65	$0.05	$325.00	Trade \| Chain

John Chalekson
E-mail: [email protected]

THE NEXT BIG TRADE IDEA™ http://www.tinyurl.com/tnbti

Featured: /financial-markets/
LinkedIn: http://www.linkedin.com/pub/john-chalekson/52/357/653/

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EDUCATION STOCKS

CECO: INITIATE

Key Statistics

Get Key Statistics for:

Data provided by Capital IQ, except where noted.

Valuation Measures

Market Cap (intraday)⁵:	180.35M
Enterprise Value (Jun 22, 2013)³:	-98.59M
Trailing P/E (ttm, intraday):	N/A
Forward P/E (fye Dec 31, 2014)¹:	N/A
PEG Ratio (5 yr expected)¹:	-0.14
Price/Sales (ttm):	0.13
Price/Book (mrq):	0.30
Enterprise Value/Revenue (ttm)³:	-0.07
Enterprise Value/EBITDA (ttm)⁶:	4.33

Financial Highlights

Fiscal Year
Fiscal Year Ends:	Dec 30
Most Recent Quarter (mrq):	Mar 31, 2013

Profitability
Profit Margin (ttm):	-15.02%
Operating Margin (ttm):	-7.40%

Management Effectiveness
Return on Assets (ttm):	-5.69%
Return on Equity (ttm):	-27.19%

Income Statement
Revenue (ttm):	1.40B
Revenue Per Share (ttm):	21.07
Qtrly Revenue Growth (yoy):	-21.10%
Gross Profit (ttm):	918.10M
EBITDA (ttm)⁶:	-22.76M
Net Income Avl to Common (ttm):	-191.06M
Diluted EPS (ttm):	-3.17
Qtrly Earnings Growth (yoy):	N/A

Balance Sheet
Total Cash (mrq):	287.77M
Total Cash Per Share (mrq):	4.29
Total Debt (mrq):	103.00K
Total Debt/Equity (mrq):	0.02
Current Ratio (mrq):	1.77
Book Value Per Share (mrq):	8.90

Cash Flow Statement
Operating Cash Flow (ttm):	-48.35M
Levered Free Cash Flow (ttm):	-9.92M

View Financials
Income Statement - Balance Sheet -Cash Flow

Trading Information

Stock Price History
Beta:	2.31
52-Week Change³:	-54.79%
S&P500 52-Week Change³:	21.22%
52-Week High (Jul 2, 2012)³:	7.05
52-Week Low (Apr 22, 2013)³:	2.03
50-Day Moving Average³:	2.86
200-Day Moving Average³:	2.98

Share Statistics
Avg Vol (3 month)³:	841,652
Avg Vol (10 day)³:	1,045,540
Shares Outstanding⁵:	67.05M
Float:	56.98M
% Held by Insiders¹:	0.77%
% Held by Institutions¹:	84.30%
Shares Short (as of May 31, 2013)³:	4.14M
Short Ratio (as of May 31, 2013)³:	4.50
Short % of Float (as of May 31, 2013)³:	8.60%
Shares Short (prior month)³:	4.04M

Dividends & Splits
Forward Annual Dividend Rate⁴:	N/A
Forward Annual Dividend Yield⁴:	N/A
Trailing Annual Dividend Yield³:	N/A
Trailing Annual Dividend Yield³:	N/A
5 Year Average Dividend Yield⁴:	N/A
Payout Ratio⁴:	N/A
Dividend Date³:	N/A
Ex-Dividend Date⁴:	N/A
Last Split Factor (new per old)²:	2:1
Last Split Date³:	Aug 25, 2003

See Key Statistics Help for definitions of terms used.

Abbreviation Guide: K = Thousands; M = Millions; B = Billions
mrq = Most Recent Quarter (as of Mar 31, 2013)
ttm = Trailing Twelve Months (as of Mar 31, 2013)
yoy = Year Over Year (as of Mar 31, 2013)
lfy = Last Fiscal Year (as of Dec 31, 2012)
fye = Fiscal Year Ending
¹ Data provided by Thomson Reuters
² Data provided by EDGAR Online
³ Data derived from multiple sources or calculated by Yahoo! Finance
⁴ Data provided by Morningstar, Inc.
⁵ Shares outstanding is taken from the most recently filed quarterly or annual report and Market Cap is calculated using shares outstanding.
⁶ EBITDA is calculated by Capital IQ using methodology that may differ from that used by a company in its reporting

Currency in USD.

COCO: INITIATE

Key Statistics

Get Key Statistics for:

Data provided by Capital IQ, except where noted.

Valuation Measures

Market Cap (intraday)⁵:	186.15M
Enterprise Value (Jun 22, 2013)³:	171.20M
Trailing P/E (ttm, intraday):	N/A
Forward P/E (fye Jun 30, 2014)¹:	9.39
PEG Ratio (5 yr expected)¹:	0.70
Price/Sales (ttm):	0.11
Price/Book (mrq):	0.33
Enterprise Value/Revenue (ttm)³:	0.11
Enterprise Value/EBITDA (ttm)⁶:	1.47

Financial Highlights

Fiscal Year
Fiscal Year Ends:	Jun 29
Most Recent Quarter (mrq):	Mar 31, 2013

Profitability
Profit Margin (ttm):	-0.37%
Operating Margin (ttm):	3.57%

Management Effectiveness
Return on Assets (ttm):	3.55%
Return on Equity (ttm):	3.19%

Income Statement
Revenue (ttm):	1.63B
Revenue Per Share (ttm):	19.04
Qtrly Revenue Growth (yoy):	-1.90%
Gross Profit (ttm):	631.24M
EBITDA (ttm)⁶:	116.37M
Net Income Avl to Common (ttm):	18.18M
Diluted EPS (ttm):	-0.07
Qtrly Earnings Growth (yoy):	N/A

Balance Sheet
Total Cash (mrq):	43.90M
Total Cash Per Share (mrq):	0.51
Total Debt (mrq):	30.67M
Total Debt/Equity (mrq):	5.37
Current Ratio (mrq):	0.92
Book Value Per Share (mrq):	6.63

Cash Flow Statement
Operating Cash Flow (ttm):	85.89M
Levered Free Cash Flow (ttm):	68.77M

View Financials
Income Statement - Balance Sheet -Cash Flow

Trading Information

Stock Price History
Beta:	3.66
52-Week Change³:	-22.30%
S&P500 52-Week Change³:	21.22%
52-Week High (Jul 2, 2012)³:	3.44
52-Week Low (Aug 2, 2012)³:	1.74
50-Day Moving Average³:	2.39
200-Day Moving Average³:	2.30

Share Statistics
Avg Vol (3 month)³:	1,233,920
Avg Vol (10 day)³:	789,750
Shares Outstanding⁵:	86.18M
Float:	78.97M
% Held by Insiders¹:	9.18%
% Held by Institutions¹:	85.80%
Shares Short (as of May 31, 2013)³:	20.74M
Short Ratio (as of May 31, 2013)³:	12.10
Short % of Float (as of May 31, 2013)³:	24.40%
Shares Short (prior month)³:	21.89M

Dividends & Splits
Forward Annual Dividend Rate⁴:	N/A
Forward Annual Dividend Yield⁴:	N/A
Trailing Annual Dividend Yield³:	N/A
Trailing Annual Dividend Yield³:	N/A
5 Year Average Dividend Yield⁴:	N/A
Payout Ratio⁴:	N/A
Dividend Date³:	N/A
Ex-Dividend Date⁴:	N/A
Last Split Factor (new per old)²:	2:1
Last Split Date³:	Mar 24, 2004

See Key Statistics Help for definitions of terms used.

Abbreviation Guide: K = Thousands; M = Millions; B = Billions
mrq = Most Recent Quarter (as of Mar 31, 2013)
ttm = Trailing Twelve Months (as of Mar 31, 2013)
yoy = Year Over Year (as of Mar 31, 2013)
lfy = Last Fiscal Year (as of Jun 30, 2012)
fye = Fiscal Year Ending
¹ Data provided by Thomson Reuters
² Data provided by EDGAR Online
³ Data derived from multiple sources or calculated by Yahoo! Finance
⁴ Data provided by Morningstar, Inc.
⁵ Shares outstanding is taken from the most recently filed quarterly or annual report and Market Cap is calculated using shares outstanding.
⁶ EBITDA is calculated by Capital IQ using methodology that may differ from that used by a company in its reporting

Currency in USD.

APOL: AVOID FOR NOW.

ESI: AVOID FOR NOW.

***

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‘EFFICIENTLY ALLOCATING INTELLECTUAL CAPITAL’

***

THE 25K MODEL PORTFOLIO™
NOV. 2012 – JUNE 21 2013

Account Balances

More Detail

Account Value	$119,486.44
Current Position Value	$44,094.78
Money Markets & Cash¹	$75,391.66
Stock Buying Power
Option Buying Power

Account Positions

More Detail

Symbol	Description	Qty	Price	Value	Action
AAPL	APPLE INC	-1	$413.50	($413.50)	Trade \| Chain
AMZN	AMAZON COM	-1	$273.36	($273.36)	Trade \| Chain
BBG	BILL BARRETT CORPORATION	1	$21.15	$21.15	Trade \| Chain
BBRY	RESEARCH IN MOTION LTD	1,300	$13.775	$17,907.50	Trade \| Chain
BBRY Jul13 14 Call	Research In Motion Ltd	10	$1.05	$1,050.00	Trade \| Chain
BBRY Jul13 15 Call	Research In Motion Ltd	10	$0.71	$710.00	Trade \| Chain
BLK	BLACKROCK INC	-1	$248.67	($248.67)	Trade \| Chain
CLVS	CLOVIS ONCOLOGY INC	-300	$65.05	($19,515.00)	Trade \| Chain
CRAY	CRAY INC	2,000	$19.61	$39,220.00	Trade \| Chain
CRAY Jul13 17.5 Call	Cray Inc	10	$2.20	$2,200.00	Trade \| Chain
CRM	SALESFORCE COM INC	-100	$38.30	($3,830.00)	Trade \| Chain
DELL	DELL INC	1	$13.35	$13.35	Trade \| Chain
DRYS	DRYSHIPS INC	200	$1.79	$358.00	Trade \| Chain
ESI	ITT EDUCATIONAL SERVICES INC	1	$23.54	$23.54	Trade \| Chain
ESRX	EXPRESS SCRIPTS HOLDING COMPANY	-100	$61.961	($6,196.10)	Trade \| Chain
FB	FACEBOOK INC	-1	$24.53	($24.53)	Trade \| Chain
FSLR	FIRST SOLAR INC	100	$41.37	$4,137.00	Trade \| Chain
GES	GUESS INC	1	$30.66	$30.66	Trade \| Chain
HES	HESS CORPORATION	1	$64.02	$64.02	Trade \| Chain
HLF	HERBALIFE LTD	-1	$45.44	($45.44)	Trade \| Chain
KERX	KERYX BIOPHARMACEUTICALS INC	-100	$7.66	($766.00)	Trade \| Chain
LULU	LULULEMON ATHLETICA INC	-100	$61.90	($6,190.00)	Trade \| Chain
NAV	NAVISTAR INTERNATIONAL CORP	-400	$26.99	($10,796.00)	Trade \| Chain
NFLX	NETFLIX INC	-100	$216.90	($21,690.00)	Trade \| Chain
NOK	NOKIA CORP	100	$3.93	$393.00	Trade \| Chain
ODP	OFFICE DEPOT INC	100	$3.98	$398.00	Trade \| Chain
PAAS	PAN AMERICAN SILVER CORP	1	$11.12	$11.12	Trade \| Chain
PNX	PHOENIX COMPANIES INC NEW	100	$43.49	$4,349.00	Trade \| Chain
REGN	REGENERON PHARMACEUTICALS INC	-50	$215.47	($10,773.50)	Trade \| Chain
RSH	RADIOSHACK CORP	2,500	$3.17	$7,925.00	Trade \| Chain
RSH Aug13 3 Call	RadioShack Corp	60	$0.45	$2,700.00	Trade \| Chain
RSOL	REAL GOODS SOLAR INC	-100	$2.30	($230.00)	Trade \| Chain
SINA	SINA COM	1	$54.48	$54.48	Trade \| Chain
SSRI	SILVER STANDARD RESOURCES INC	4,000	$6.33	$25,320.00	Trade \| Chain
SSRI Jul13 6 Call	Silver Standard Resources Inc	50	$0.60	$3,000.00	Trade \| Chain
SSRI Jul13 7 Call	Silver Standard Resources Inc	35	$0.20	$700.00	Trade \| Chain
SSRI Jul13 8 Call	Silver Standard Resources Inc	65	$0.05	$325.00	Trade \| Chain
SWC	STILLWATER MINING	1,000	$10.45	$10,450.00	Trade \| Chain
TNP	TSAKOS ENERGY NAVIGATION LTD	1	$4.37	$4.37	Trade \| Chain
WTW	WEIGHT WATCHERS	-150	$43.29	($6,493.50)	Trade \| Chain
X	US STEEL CORP	500	$17.10	$8,550.00	Trade \| Chain
X Jul13 17 Call	US Steel Corp	20	$0.82	$1,640.00	Trade \| Chain
YHOO	YAHOO INC	1	$25.19	$25.19	Trade \| Chain

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Disclaimer and Safe Harbor Statement

JOHN CHALEKSON and its owners, and their affiliates, directors and officers, and immediate family members, are hereafter collectively referred to as “JOHN CHALEKSON” or “we” or “us” or “our”). JOHN CHALEKSON publishes information (the “Information”) about publicly traded companies (the “Profiled Company” or the “Profiled Companies”) which has been obtained from various sources including publicly available sources on the internet. JOHN CHALEKSON does not undertake any due diligence or investigation of the Information it obtains or publishes. You should not consider the Information published by JOHN CHALEKSON to be a true, accurate, complete or reliable. The Profiled Companies actual results and financial condition may differ materially and be completely different than that published or described in the Information. The Information is not an offer or solicitation to buy or sell securities of the Profiled Companies. You should not consider the Information to be a recommendation or indication as to when you should buy or sell securities or if you should buy or sell securities of the Profiled Companies. JOHN CHALEKSON and its officers, directors, owners and employees are not licensed as brokers, broker dealers, market makers, investment bankers, investment advisors, analysts or underwriters. You should not consider the Information when making an investment decision of whether to buy or sell securities of any Profiled Company on JOHN CHALEKSON and you should consult with and request that your investment advisor or attorney verify any information you rely upon in making an investment decision. You should consult your financial and legal advisers before purchasing or selling the securities of any Profiled Company. Affiliates, officers, directors and employees of JOHN CHALEKSON may own or may purchase shares of the Profiled Companies and may sell their securities at times when JOHN CHALEKSON publishes Information on the Profiled Company including when investors purchase the securities of the Profiled Companies.

JOHN CHALEKSON will not advise you prior to buying or selling the securities of the Profiled Companies does not and the Information should not be considered when making a decision to buy or sell securities of the Profiled Companies. The Information is not a solicitation or recommendation to buy, sell or hold securities and does not provide reliable information or analysis of the financial position of the Profiled Companies. All statements in the Information are subject to change without notice and are not reliable. JOHN CHALEKSON is not liable for any investment decisions by its readers. Readers should independently investigate and fully understand all risks before investing in any Profiled Company.

The owners, associates, officers, directors and/or employees and/or principals of JOHN CHALEKSON may have stock positions in the Profiled Companies obtained from purchases in the open market or in private transactions. JOHN CHALEKSON will liquidate any securities of the Profiled Companies at its discretion without notification to any party including you even it has made published positive Information about a Profiled Company. By reviewing JOHN CHALEKSON ‘s website you accept these terms and conditions.

Any investment in the Profiled Companies involves a high degree of risk and involves risks and uncertainties, which may result in investors losing all of their invested capital. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

The information contained herein contains “forward-looking statements,” within the meaning of Section 27A of the Securities Act of 1933 and Section 21E of the Securities Exchange Act of 1934. Forward-looking statements are based upon expectations, estimates and projections at the time the statements are made and involve risks and uncertainties that could cause actual events to differ materially from those anticipated. Forward-looking statements may be identified thorough the use of words such as expects, will, anticipates, estimates, believes, or by statements indicating certain actions may, could, should, or might occur. Any statements that express or involve predictions, expectations, beliefs, plans, projections, objectives, goals or future events or performance may be forward-looking statements. Factors that could cause actual results to differ materially include but are not limited to adverse economic conditions, intense competition, lack of meaningful research results, inadequate capital, termination of contracts or agreements, adverse publicity and news coverage, inability to carry out research, development and commercialization plans, loss or retirement of key executives and other key personnel, and other risks detailed in public information including but not limited to reports filed with the Securities and Exchange Commission and/or OTC Markets. You may obtained information about some of the Profiled Companies from the OTC Markets Website at www.otcmarkets.com or from the website of the Securities and Exchange Commission, at http://www.sec.gov without charge.

Buying and Selling of Shares:

JOHN CHALEKSON may sell any shares of the Profiled Companies for less than target prices set forth in the Information and may profit by selling their securities while investors are purchasing during the same time JOHN CHALEKSON publishes the Information.

If at anytime you wish to be removed from our list simply unsubscribe in any of the previous emails sent to you.

17 (B) Disclaimer

JOHN CHALEKSON electronically disseminates information on its website, in newsletters, featured reports, spam compliant double-opt in email communications or otherwise pertaining to Profiled Companies’ the securities of which are most frequently penny stocks and common stock quoted on the OTCQB or Pink Sheets.

Your use of the Information is at your own risk. JOHN CHALEKSON disclaims, expressly and impliedly, all warranties of any kind, including whether the Information is accurate or reliable or free of errors. By reading the Information, you hereby agree to indemnify and hold JOHN CHALEKSON harmless from any liability for any claimed direct, indirect, incidental, punitive, or consequential damages pertaining to the Information.

The Information is presented only as a brief “snapshot” of the Profiled Company and should only be used, at most, and if at all, as a method of obtaining the names of penny stocks and a starting point for you to conduct a thorough investigation of the Profiled Company and its securities and to consult your financial, legal or other advisor(s) and avail yourself to the filings and information that may be accessed at www.sec.gov . or other electronic medium, including: (a) reviewing SEC periodic reports (Forms 10-Q and 10-K), reports of material events (Form 8-K), insider reports (Forms 3, 4, 5 and Schedule 13D); (b) reviewing Information and Disclosure Statements and unaudited financial reports filed with the Pink Sheets; (c) obtaining and reviewing publicly available information contained in commonly known search engines such as Google; and (e) consulting investment guides at www.sec.gov and www.finra.com pertaining to the risks of investing in penny stocks. Readers must evaluate and bear all the risks associated with the Information, including reliance on its accuracy, completeness or usefulness. In all instances, you should conduct due diligence and its own review of the Profiled Companies and its securities.

Copyright © 2013 http://www.linkedin.com/pub/john-chalekson/52/357/653/, All rights reserved.
LONG/SHORT EQUITY TRADING, WHERE TECHNICALS MEET FUNDAMENTALS.
PRICE IS WHAT YOU PAY, VALUE IS WHAT YOU GET
http://www.tinyurl.com/tnbti

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LONG/SHORT EQUITY TRADING: WHERE TECHNICALS MEET FUNDAMENTALS

THE NEXT BIG TRADE IDEA™

$CECO, $COCO

ANALYZING EDUCATION STOCKS

COMMENTARY & NOTES

THIS WEEK WAS PRETTY TOUGH. THE 25K MODEL PORTFOLIO™ CAME BACK IN TO AROUND $120K FROM $130K AT THE START. SOME KEY ADDITIONS INCLUDE SOME SYNTHETIC POSITIONS USING OPTIONS AND SOME REPOSITIONING AND ROTATION OF CAPITAL.

FEDERAL RESERVE DECISIONS AND OTHER POLICY MAKING VARIABLES THAT CAUSE VOLATILITY IN THE MARKETS ARE TO BE VIEWED AS GOOD THINGS. THE MARKET IS LIKE A VOTING MACHINE, NOT A WEIGHING MACHINE. “PRICE IS WHAT YOU PAY, VALUE IS WHAT YOU GET”

THE 25K MODEL PORTFOLIO™ KEY POSITION ADDITIONS & CHANGES:

Account Balances

More Detail

Account Positions

More Detail

Comments

LONG/SHORT EQUITY TRADING:
WHERE TECHNICALS MEET FUNDAMENTALS

FEDERAL RESERVE DECISIONS AND OTHER POLICY MAKING VARIABLES THAT CAUSE VOLATILITY IN THE MARKETS ARE TO BE VIEWED AS GOOD THINGS. THE MARKET IS LIKE A VOTING MACHINE, NOT A WEIGHING MACHINE.

“PRICE IS WHAT YOU PAY, VALUE IS WHAT YOU GET”

THE 25K MODEL PORTFOLIO™
KEY POSITION ADDITIONS & CHANGES: