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Trader Alert: Stock Prices Could Come Down Very Fast And Furious – It’s All About Interest Rates, And It Keeps Moving Higher

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Bond Yields Creep Closer to the Pain Threshold

The scale of the sell-off in U.S. government bonds has taken market watchers by surprise and yields are now fast approaching a “pain threshold” that could make the Federal Reserve think twice about unwinding its monetary stimulus too soon, analysts say.

Yields on benchmark 10-year U.S. Treasurys soared after Friday’s stronger-than-expected U.S. non-farm payrolls data heightened fears among bond investors that an unwinding of the Fed’s monetary stimulus could come sooner rather than later.

(Read More: One Eye on Earnings, the Other on Bonds)

“I think 3 percent is the key threshold, but if you’d asked me a few weeks ago, I would have said 2.5 percent – it keeps moving higher and yet there doesn’t seem to be an imminent impact on the U.S. economy,” Frederic Neumann, co-head of Asian Economics Research at HSBC Bank told CNBC Asia’s “Squawk Box.”

“But 3 percent is likely to be, not just a material threshold, but a psychological line in the sand for [Fed Chairman Ben] Bernanke at the moment,” he added.

http://www.cnbc.com/id/100868758

Very Scary Short-Term Charts

http://static6.businessinsider.com/image/51da79b46bb3f75e5d00002e-481-289/30_year_mortg.png

United States Government Bonds

http://www.bloomberg.com/markets/rates-bonds/government-bonds/us/

GOLDMAN: 3.0% On The 10-Year Next Year, And 4.0% By 2016!!

http://www.businessinsider.com/goldman-30-on-the-10-year-next-year-and-40-by-2016-2013-7

What Bernanke Could Say This Week To Really Spook The Market

The big show this week will be a speech on Wednesday from Fed Chair Ben Bernanke.

It’s titled: “The First 100 Years of the Federal Reserve: The Policy Record, Lessons Learned, and Prospects for the Future” and there’s going to be a Q&A.

Read more at http://investmentwatchblog.com



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    • Louis

      When the stocks do come tumbling down (rather than may come tumbling down), let us know.

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