Weekly Trading Forecasts on Major Pairs (October 31 – November 4, 2016)

EURUSD
Dominant bias: Bearish
This pair moved sideways last week, and then traded upwards on Friday. However, that was not significant enough to result in any bullish signal. The bias on the market remains bearish, and what happened on Friday could turn out to be a short-selling opportunity. The outlook on EUR pairs is bearish for this week, and therefore EURUSD would keep on being bearish. Price may thus test the support lines at 1.0900, 1.0850 and 1.0800 this week. The only thing could help bulls here is a large pullback on USDCHF, which is not likely this week.

USDCHF
Dominant bias: Bullish
This trading instrument has managed to climb above the resistance level at 0.9900, before bears pushed back the price below it. The market has been consolidating for two weeks, though the bullish outlook remains valid. The outlook on USD is bullish for this week and this month, which means most major currencies would be weakened against it. USDCHF would make bullish attempts but there is a very difficult resistance level at 1.0000, which would require lots of buying pressure to breach. Should bulls fail to breach that resistance level, a pullback may materialize.

GBPUSD
Dominant bias: Bearish
Cable has been moving sideways for two weeks, which has resulted in a neutral bias in the short-term. The long-term bias is bearish, and when momentum rises, it may favor bears. The outlook on the market is bearish for this week, and rallies should be disregarded, for they would be transitory and cannot be significant enough to bring an end to the current long-term bearish outlook. In November, large movements would be witnessed on GBP pairs, and they would undergo bearish movements in most cases.

USDJPY
Dominant bias: Bullish
As it was mentioned in the last forecast, USDJPY has become bullish. Price moved upwards by 170 pips last week, to test the supply level at 105.50. The bearish correction that was seen on October 28 was just another opportunity to buy long when things are on sale, in the context of an uptrend. The most probable movement for JPY pairs is bullish for this week, though the situation may change before or by the end of November.

EURJPY
Dominant bias: Bullish
In spite of the weakness in EUR, the EURJPY cross rallied by 230 pips last week. Price closed at 115.11 on Friday, after forming a clear Bullish Confirmation Pattern in the 4-hour chart. The current price action shows that bulls are still willing to push price further north, which may make price to reach the supply zones at 115.50, 116.00 and 116.50 this week. After all, it is expected that JPY pairs would make some bullish attempts in the week.

This forecast is concluded with the quote below:

“Earning a trading income compared to earning an occupation income is just so damned rewarding!” – Louise Bedford

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