Weekly Trading Forecasts for Major Pairs (June 12 - 16, 2017)

EURUSD
Dominant bias: Bullish
Although the bias on this pair is bullish, bulls are getting tired of pushing price upwards. Price consolidated last week, moving between the resistance line at 1.1200 and the resistance line at 1.1300, before it closed below the resistance line at 1.1200 on Friday. The outlook on EUR pairs is bearish this week, and that may cause the market to assume a bearish journey, as the support lines at 1.1150 and 1.1100 are targeted.

USDCHF
Dominant bias: Bearish
USD/CHF moved between the resistance level at 0.9700 and the support level at 0.9600 last week. On Friday, an attempt was made to go above the resistance level at 0.9700, but price was forced to close below it. In spite of a faint rally that was seen last week, the dominant bias on the market remains bearish. Further bearishness is expected this week, as USD would be weak against some currencies like CHF, NZD and AUD. The only factor that could cause a noteworthy bullish run in the market is a major pullback on the EURUSD.

GBPUSD
Dominant bias: Bearish
It was formerly forecast that the outlook on GBP pair is bearish for June. GBP pairs went through major pullbacks last week as EURGBP shot skywards. That event was what put an end to the short-term neutrality on GBPUSD, which has been moving sideways before the pullback that happed on June 9. That event has caused a Bearish Confirmation Pattern to form in the market as price lost more than 200 pips (the initial loss was about 300 pips but price bounced upwards). This week, the bearish outlook on the market remains valid as further bearish movement is anticipated.

USDJPY
Dominant bias: Bearish
This trading instrument went downwards on Monday and Tuesday; and then made effort to go upwards on Wednesday, Thursday and Friday. All this happened in the context of a downtrend, which is expected to continue this week, for the outlook on JPY pair is very bearish for the week. Thus, the demand levels at 109.50. 109.00, and 108.50 would be tested this week, as price goes southwards.

EURJPY
Dominant bias: Bearish
The EUR/JPY cross is bullish in the long-term (though the long term-bullishness is now being threatened), and bearish in the short-term. Price dropped 150 pips last week, to test the demand zone at 123.00, after which it moved sideways for the rest of the week. Things are currently volatile, but further bearish movement is anticipated (just like on other JPY pairs); and thus, the demand zones at 123.00, 122.50 and 122.00 could be breached.

This forecast is concluded with the quote below:

“If you have a strategy that works, stick to it.” – James Altucher