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Prices to Buy Gold Jump as US Retail Sales Fall, Eurozone QE Gets Legal Green Light, Equities Sink

Wednesday, January 14, 2015 7:52

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Adrian Ash is head of research at BullionVault, the world-leading gold trading & ownership service online…

BUY GOLD bids jumped Wednesday lunchtime in London after the European Central Bank won legal approval to start QE bond purchases and new data showed retail sales in the US sinking last month at the fastest pace since 2010.

The World Bank had earlier cut its global GDP growth forecast from 3.4% to 3.0% for 2015.

Copper prices dropped to new 6-year lows as crude oil fell again and global stock markets sank, with London’s FTSE-100 off 2.8% by early afternoon and Wall Street futures pointing sharply lower.

National data meantime put consumer-price inflation in France at just 0.1% per year in December, with prices in Italy dropping 0.1%.

Ahead of next week’s European Central Bank meeting, “Outright Monetary Transactions” – aka QE – by the ECB would fit “in principle” with the 19-nation currency zone’s treaty, advocate-general Cruz Villalon found today for the European Constitutional Court of Justice.

Germany’s Federal Court last year called on the ECCJ to decide on the legality of OMT.

Villalon’s opinion further says the ECB “must have a broad discretion when framing and implementing the EU’s monetary policy”, unchallenged by “the courts [because they] lack the expertise and experience which the ECB has in this area.”

“The final hurdle to quantitative easing [in the Eurozone] appears to have been cleared,” the BBC quotes one economist.

The Euro hit new 9-year lows, briefly falling below its 1999 launch level to the Dollar at $1.1726 and taking prices to buy gold with the single currency back towards 16-month highs at €1050 per ounce.

Prices to buy gold with Dollars meantime drifted back, with London spot twice hitting $1225.50 per ounce.

But a sudden drop in the Dollar saw gold leap near yesterday’s 3-month high at $1244 per ounce – up 1.4% inside 90 minutes – after US retail sales showed a 0.9% drop for December from a year before.

“We are still wary of getting carried away,” says a note on gold prices from UK consultancy Capital Economics.

“The recent gains are small compared to the much bigger declines that have gone before.”

“We expect the Fed to begin raising rates this year,” says Standard Chartered bank’s senior investment strategist Manpreet Gill.

“That is negative for gold because that begins to reduce the excess supply of Dollars that we have seen in the past few years.”

Interest rates on US Treasury bonds fell hard however after Wednesday’s retail sales news, driving 10-year yields back to 1.80%.

That’s more than 1 full percentage point below where 10-year yields stood 12 months ago, before the Federal Reserve began “tapering” its QE aseet purchase program to zero by November.

Formerly City correspondent for The Daily Reckoning in London and head of editorial at the UK’s leading financial advisory for private investors, Adrian Ash is the editor of Gold News and head of research at BullionVault – winner of the Queen’s Award for Enterprise Innovation, 2009 and now backed by the mining-sector’s World Gold Council research body – where you can buy gold today vaulted in Zurich on $3 spreads and 0.8% dealing fees.

Please Note: This article is to inform your thinking, not lead it. Only you can decide the best place for your money, and any decision you make will put your money at risk. Information or data included here may have already been overtaken by events – and must be verified elsewhere – should you choose to act on it.

Source: https://www.bullionvault.com/gold-news/buy-gold-011420151

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