Recount Unlikely to Change the Outcome

armstrongeconomics.com / by Martin Armstrong / Nov 27, 2016

Hillary’s people have come out joining Stein as long as she puts up the wasted money. “Now that a recount is underway, we believe we have an obligation to the more than 64 million Americans who cast ballots for Hillary Clinton to participate in ongoing proceedings to ensure that an accurate vote count will be reported,”  Marc Erik Elias said on behalf of her campaign.

Here is the real bottom-line. They would need to overturn Michigan, Pennsylvania, and Wisconsin to change the outcome. Anything less than that would not alter the outcome. While Trump won in Pennsylvania and Wisconsin, he holds a slim lead in Michigan, where a Republican presidential candidate hadn’t won since 1988, has a lead of 10,704 votes. That is far more than any recount has ever been enacted or changed the outcome. More than ten thousand is probably enough of a cushion to prevail. Trump has 290 votes to Clinton’s 232, and even if Michigan went to Clinton she still would trail, 290-248. Pennsylvania and Florida, require the vote difference between the two candidates to be less than one-half of 1 percentage point. Wisconsin and Pennsylvania conduct post-election audits, Michigan and many other states do not. In Michigan, a recount is triggered automatically if the margin is less than 2,000 votes. None of those states qualify for a recount on the numbers. There is nothing but Stein raising money claiming she will make a petition that would not change the outcome without all three states being overturned.

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