Weekend Reading: Markets Go On Alert

zerohedge.com / by Tyler Durden / Apr 14, 2017 4:45 PM

Authored by Lance Roberts via RealInvestmentAdvice.com,

In my money management process, portfolio “risk” is “ratcheted” up and down based on a series of signals which tend to indicate when market dynamics are either more, or less, favorable for having capital exposed to the market. This model is published each week in the Real Investment Report as shown below:

As you will notice, portfolios NEVER reach 100% cash levels. The reason is purely psychological. Once individuals go to 100% cash, it is extremely hard to re-enter back into the markets. I learned this lesson in February 2009 when I wrote the article “8-Reasons For A Bull Market” which stated:

“Any weakness next week will most likely warrant a push down to 800 for first support and then the November lows of 750.   We believe that these lows will hold although we are aware that if the market doesn’t get ‘it’ together soon further weakness could show itself.

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