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A Few Thoughts about Currencies and Equities

Monday, October 30, 2017 11:09

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marctomarket.com / by Marc Chandler / October 30, 2017

The S&P 500 closed strongly ahead of the weekend to extend the advancing streak to the seventh week and nine of the past ten. Some efforts to decompose the return since the bottom in 2009 finds that roughly two-thirds can be explained by earnings growth and about a third to expansion valuation (price-to-earnings).

Through last week, with about half of the S&P 500 having reported, earnings are up about 8.4% on a 6.3% increase in sales. The Dow Jones Stoxx 600 that reported have seen an 8% increase in profits. In Asia, 185 companies in the MSCI Asia Pacific Index that reported a 14% growth in earnings.

Value investors bemoan the fact that after an eight-year bull market, the value opportunities are understandably scarce. However, the outperformance of growth over value may not be fully appreciated. We look at the Russell 1000 Growth Index and the Russell 1000 Value Index. The spread between the two is now at its most since the tech bubble in the late 1990s and early 2000s. However, to put in perspective, consider that the spread between the two indices is about a third of what where it peaked in 2000.

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Source: http://silveristhenew.com/2017/10/30/a-few-thoughts-about-currencies-and-equities/

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