Analyzing “The Deal”: As Iran & White House Claim Victory, What Will Israel & the Saudis Do Now?
Joel C. Rosenberg’s Blog
Chief negotiator Catherine Ashton and Iran’s foreign minister announce agreement on Iran’s nuclear program early on Sunday, November 24 in Geneva. (Getty Images/CNN)
UPDATED WITH NEW ARTICLES & COMMENTARY: (Washington, D.C.) — The deal is done. The Iranian leaders are claiming victory. The White House is claiming victory. Most European governments, as well as Russia, are claiming victory.
The Israeli government, meanwhile, is horrified. They, and many of their citizens, feel more isolated than ever. As I reported from Jerusalem, this was true before the deal was struck. It is even more true now.
“One [Israeli] radio host on Sunday repeatedly played clips of President Obama, during his visit here in March, reassuring Israelis, in Hebrew, that ‘you are not alone,’ and then said ominously, ‘We are in fact alone,’” reported the New York Times.
Below, you’ll find a selection of key articles I’ve found helpful over the past 72 hours in understanding the deal and the reaction to it from various quarters. Above all, I encourage you to read the full text of the “interim deal” for yourself, along with President Obama’s statement, the Ayatollah Khamenei’s comments, and Israeli Prime Minister Netanyahu’s comments. These primary source documents will give you the basic facts and contours of the debate.
- Full text of the Iran nuclear deal.
- President Obama’s statement.
- The Ayatollah Khamenei’s statement.
- Prime Minister Netanyahu’s statement.
Then, we need to ask two critical questions:
- What will the Saudis do now?
- What will the Israelis do now?
The Saudis have been signaling in recent weeks that they are losing confidence in their alliance with the U.S., they are increasingly prepared to buy nuclear weapons from Pakistan, and they might even create a tacit alliance with Israel and the Gulf states as a bulwark against Iran. Is all that bluster, or is Riyadh serious?
Meanwhile, the initial consensus among most Mideast analysts is that Israel is now constrained from launching preemptive military strike lest the Netanyahu government risk a massive backlash from the international community that has just agreed to an “interim” agreement with Iran, pending a “comprehensive” agreement in 2014. I have posted a few examples of such views below. But I’ve also posted several examples of Israelis saying this deal makes a preemptive strike more likely, and possibly even inevitable, especially if the Saudis will help. Is this true, or just the bluster of those frustrated by what they perceive as the world’s betrayal?
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Whistler Blowers, Insiders
Israeli False Flag assisted by their Wahhabi servants. Two fascist regimes: Zionist & Wahhabi working together at last. I say we stay out of it and let Iran kick their asses if they attack.
They’ve been working together for a long long time, but under the radar.
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id hate more than anything to fight a war in the middle east,but common sense of what i have seen in my lifetime with iran and the goverment this is a dum ass mistake obama did. i am confused why we give in to iran,does anyone who dont hate jewish people or anyone that dont want a nuclear war even back this agreement. dont anyone understand after dealing with the nazi goverment before world war 2 and other conflicts you dont give into unstable goverment or bad people.the end never changes and iran will not stop in making nuclear weapons,you realy think they just want nuclear power,you realy think they are not anyother type of energy out there that they are letting all these santions go on and on and switch over to all those other energy alternatives.NO THEY WANT NUCLEAR WEAPONS COME ON THEY HAVE TO BE A GOVERMENT TROLL READING THESE SITES TELL YOUR BOSS OBAMA GET HIS HEAD OUT OF HIS ASS