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“Not for Distribution, Internal Use Only”: US Energy Dept Estimated Fukushima Release Up to 10,000 Times Larger Than Nuclear Regulators Predicted — ‘Supercore’ Scenario An Underestimate?

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ENEWnews.com

 

Ocean Plume Modeling for the Fukushima Daiichi Event (pdf) — US Dept. of Commerce, NOAA, National Weather Service, Sept. 2013:

Estimates of contamination

  • “Coastal releases ignored. According to TEPCO estimates, coastal releases are 1% of atmospheric… Not important for far-field estimates (i.e., exposure for US territories)”

 

  • “Scenarios used [are] NRC source scenario [and] DOE Supercore source scenario”

 

  • Regarding Cs-137 release estimates, “NRC and DOE differ by three orders of magnitude” [i.e. DOE estimate is 1,000 to 9,999 times more than NRC]

 

  • “Enormous uncertainty in total amount of contamination released at FDNPP”

 

  • “Differences between NRC &  DOE sources are crippling from a scientific perspective”

 

  • “DOE much too high at… JAMSTEC observation line 30km offshore [and] overestimates Cs-137 by order of magnitude [predicting a] maxima of around 100 Bq/L for Cs-137… JAMSTEC realistic contamination levels would be factor 10 smaller (10 Bq/L).”

 

Is DOE’s 100 Bq/L an ‘Overestimate’?

 

read more at ENEnews.com:

 

http://enenews.com/us-energy-dept-estimated-fukushima-release-up-to-10000-times-larger-than-nuclear-regulators-predicted-supercore-scenario-an-underestimate 



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