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MTECHTIPS:-Gold / Silver / Copper futures – weekly outlook: November 21 – 25

Sunday, November 20, 2016 23:52
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MTECHTIPS:-Gold / Silver / Copper futures – weekly outlook: November 21 – 25

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MTECHTIPS- Gold prices fell to the lowest level since May on Friday as the dollar rallied to almost 14-year highs amid a rally driven by the U.S. presidential election and expectations that the Federal Reserve will raise interest rates next month. Gold for December delivery on the Comex division of the New York Mercantile Exchange hit lows of $1,202.05 a troy ounce and settled down 0.74% at $1,207.9, the lowest close since June 3. Gold prices were pressured lower as the dollar continued to surge following the outcome of the U.S. presidential election, tracking rising U.S. Treasury yields amid expectations that President-elect Donald Trump’s plans to ramp up fiscal spending and cut taxes will spur economic growth and inflation. Faster growth would spark inflation, which in turn would prompt the Fed to tighten monetary policy a faster rate than had previously been expected. The U.S. dollar index, which measures the greenback’s strength against a trade-weighted basket of six major currencies, was at 101.41 late Friday, its highest close since April 2003. Gold is priced in dollars and becomes more expensive for holders of other currencies as the dollar rises. The dollar rally has also been boosted by bets that the U.S. central bank will almost certainly raise interest rates next month. Fed Chair Janet Yellen on Thursday reiterated that a rate hike “could well become appropriate relatively soon.” Investors have assigned a 95.4% chance of a rate hike at the Fed’s December meeting; according to federal funds futures tracked Investing.com’s Fed Rate Monitor Tool. Gold is sensitive to moves in U.S. rates, which lift the opportunity cost of holding non-yielding assets such as bullion, while boosting the dollar in which it is priced.

 

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