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Randslide Emminent In Kentucky’s U.S. Senate Race

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Sean Hannity declared on primary election night that there was a “Randslide” in Kentucky, as Rand Paul routed his opponent Trey Grayson by double-digits. With 4 different independent polls released this week showing Rand Paul pulling away from Jack Conway, it looks like Hannity should prepare to make the call – Randslide in Kentucky!

A new Rasmussen Reports poll released today shows Rand Paul pulling away with an 12% lead and 53% of the vote!

From Rasmussen:

The latest Rasmussen Reports telephone survey of Likely Voters in the state, taken Wednesday night, shows Paul with 53% support to Conway’s 41%. Two percent (2%) prefer some other candidate in the race, and four percent (4%) are undecided.

In 12 surveys prior to last week, Paul had led by seven to 15 points each time, earning 46% to 59% of the vote. Conway, Kentucky’s current attorney general, picked up 34% to 42% support in those same surveys.

Other recent polling:

BLUEGRASS POLL: PAUL 52% CONWAY 43%

PAUL OPENED A SUBSTANTIAL LEAD: “Rand Paul’s Lead Over Jack Conway Grows, Bluegrass Poll Finds… Paul Has Opened A Substantial Lead”(“Rand Paul’s lead over Jack Conway grows, Bluegrass Poll finds,” Louisville Courier-Journal, 10/28/10)

PAUL GAINS AMONG WOMEN: “…Since The Last Bluegrass Poll Earlier This Month, Women Have Begun Moving To Paul…” (“Rand Paul’s lead over Jack Conway grows, Bluegrass Poll finds,” Louisville Courier-Journal, 10/28/10)

LEADING ACROSS BOARD: “Paul Leads In All But A Few Demographic Groups, And His Margin Puts Him In Position To Win In A Landslide…” (“Rand Paul’s lead over Jack Conway grows, Bluegrass Poll finds,” Louisville Courier-Journal, 10/28/10)

DR. RAND PAUL: 52%

JACK CONWAY: 43%

(Source: SurveyUSA polled 900 adults in Kentucky, including 637 likely voters from October 24th to 27th. The margin of error is +/-4%; “Rand Paul’s lead over Jack Conway grows, Bluegrass Poll finds,” Louisville Courier-Journal, 10/28/10)

PPP POLL: PAUL 53% CONWAY 40%

RAPIDLY EXPANDING LEAD FOR PAUL:”42-49 In PPP’s Previous Survey Last Month, But He Now Trails By A Likely Insurmountable 40-53 With Only A Week To Go.” (“Rand Paul Likely Victor in Kentucky,” Public Policy Polling, 10/26/10)

PAUL SURGING AMONG INDEPENDENTS: “This huge movement by independents away from Conway and toward Paul personally has made the difference. They now support Paul by a 66-27 margin, an improvement of 32 points from his 47-40 edge in September.” (“Rand Paul Likely Victor in Kentucky,” Public Policy Polling, 10/26/10)

CONWAY AD REJECTED BY VOTERS: “56% of voters think it was inappropriate, including 72% of Republicans and 68% of dependents. Even 41% of Democrats think the ad in bad taste…” (“Rand Paul Likely Victor in Kentucky,” Public Policy Polling, 10/26/10)

DR. RAND PAUL: 53%

JACK CONWAY: 40%

(Source: PPP surveyed 900 likely Kentucky voters from October 21st to 24th. The margin of error is +/-3.3%; “Rand Paul Likely Victor in Kentucky,” Public Policy Polling, 10/26/10)

FOX POLL: PAUL 50% CONWAY 43%

CONWAY AND OBAMA: “Conway’s biggest problem in his race against the libertarian Republican Paul has been the dire unpopularity of President Obama and his agenda in Kentucky. Just 35 percent of respondents approved of the job Obama was doing…” (“Fox News Polls: Dems Make Gains as Republicans Hang Tough in Battleground States,” Fox News, 10/26/10)

VOTERS DON’T LIKE THE CONWAY/OBAMA AGENDA: “66 percent favored repealing all or part of the president’s national health-insurance law and 51 percent thought Obama’s policies had hurt the state’s economy, compared to 21 percent who thought they had helped.” (“Fox News Polls: Dems Make Gains as Republicans Hang Tough in Battleground States,” Fox News, 10/26/10)

CONWAY AD BACKFIRES: “Kentucky Democrat Jack Conway’s ad questioning the Christian faith of Republican Senate rival Rand Paul seems to have backfired.” (“Fox News Polls: Dems Make Gains as Republicans Hang Tough in Battleground States,” Fox News, 10/26/10)

DR. RAND PAUL: 50%

JACK CONWAY: 43%

(Source: Fox News/Pulse Opinion Research surveyed 1,000 likely Kentucky voters on October 23rd. The margin of error is +/-3%; “Fox News Polls: Dems Make Gains as Republicans Hang Tough in Battleground States,” Fox News, 10/26/10)

Rand Paul’s campaign manager Jesse Benton says, “Dr. Paul is encouraged to see the continued support for his campaign. The people of Kentucky have seen through the smears and attacks of the other side, and are responding positively to his message of term Limits, balanced budgets, and opposition to the job-destroying policies of the Obama Administration.”

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