Barack Obama Losing In Illinois

Could Barack Obama lose his home state of Illinois?  Remember this is the state that in 2010 elected a Republican Senator to fill the former seat that Obama held in The United States Senate.  Democrat Pat Quinn narrowly won the Illinois Governorship in 2010 to replace disgraced Rod Blagojevich. So there is a history of GOP wins in Illinois.

Recent polling is showing Obama in deep trouble in his home state. While Obama still holds a strong lead in the city of Chicago, Thugville is not as keen on Obama as they were in 2008. Obama leads Romney 49%-37% in The Windy City where he beat John McCain 74%-23% in 2008. So even in Thugville Obama is struggling.

Chicago’s suburbs though are a completely different story. Mitt Romney holds a commanding lead over Obama outside of The Windy City. Overall Romney leads Obama in the Burbs, 45%-38%. Among Independent voters Obama fares even worse where Romney leads by a whopping 43%-31%. Male voters favor Romney over Obama by 44%-38% while white voters prefer Romney 53%-40%.

Unless Obama can increase his lead in the City of Chicago he is on a path to lose his home state which is not considered one of the much battled for swing states.  Illinois offers 20 Electoral votes and if those go to Romney it will make it extremely difficult for Obama to come up with the 270 needed to gain the Presidency.  In the actual battle ground states Obama only leads by a slight margin in Colorado while Romney leads in Virginia, North Carolina, Florida, Wisconsin and tied for Ohio.

The last time a Presidential candidate lost his home state was 2000 when George W. Bush beat Al Gore for Tennessee.  Obama losing his home state would be the blow that would also lose the Presidency and it looks like Illinois could be the final nail in the coffin of the failed Obama Presidency.

Ken Taylor