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The Inexcusable Arrogance of The Pundits

Saturday, November 12, 2016 20:39
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Tuesday, Donald Trump defeated Hillary Cinton to become President-elect of the United States. Trump celebrated the win late that night, Ms. Clinton conceded early Wednesday morning, but as the week ended the major pundits were largely unwilling to admit that they were wrong. Excuses for blowing the call ranged from blaming inaccuracy on late voter decisions to complex explanations that – statistically – the pundits weren’t that far off. For example, Nate Silver (who boasted for four years how well he did in predicting state and national results in 2012), presented a weak defense of his statistical model. Silver


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