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ISIS update 11/28/2015..   No-Fly Zone for Erdogan's jets

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Why Turkey Stabbed Russia in the Back 

By Pepe Escobar

November 27, 2015 “Information Clearing House” – “teleSUR” – Russia’s and Turkey’s objectives in fighting the Islamic State group are diametrically opposed.

It’s absolutely impossible to understand why the Turkish government would engage in the suicidal strategy of downing a Russian Su-24 over Syrian territory – technically a NATO declaration of war on Russia – without putting in context the Turkish power play in northern Syria.

President Vladmir Putin said the downing of the Russian fighter jet was a “stab in the back.” So let’s see how facts on the ground allowed it to happen.

Ankara uses, finances, and weaponizes a basket case of extremist outfits across northern Syria, and needs by all means to keep supply line corridors from southern Turkey open for them; after all they need to conquer Aleppo, which would open the way for Ankara’s Holy Grail: regime change in Damascus.

At the same time Ankara is terrified of the YPG – the Syrian Kurd People’s Protection Units – a sister organization of the leftist PKK. These must be contained at all costs.

So the Islamic State group – against which the United Nations has declared war – is a mere detail in the overall Ankara strategy, which is essentially to fight, contain or even bomb Kurds; support all manner of Takfiris and Salafi-jihadis, including the Islamic State group; and get regime change in Damascus.

Unsurprisingly, the YPG Syrian Kurds are vastly demonized in Turkey, accused of at least trying to ethnic cleanse Arab and Turkmen villages in northern Syria.

Yet, what the Syrian Kurds are attempting – and to Ankara’s alarm, somewhat supported by the U.S. – is to link what are for the moment three patches of Kurdish land in northern Syria.

A look at an imperfect Turkish map at least reveals how two of these patches of land (in yellow) are already linked, to the northeast. To accomplish that, the Syrian Kurds, helped by the PKK, defeated The Islamic State group in Kobani and environs. To get to the third patch of land, they need to get to Afryn. Yet on the way (in blue) there is a collection of Turkmen villages north of Aleppo.

The strategic importance of these Turkmen lands cannot be emphasized enough. It’s exactly in this area, reaching as much as 35 km inland, that Ankara wants to install its so-called “safe zone,” which will be in fact a no-fly zone, in Syrian territory, ostensibly to house Syrian refugees, and with everything paid by the EU, which has already unblocked 3 billion euros, starting Jan. 1, via the European Commission (EC).

The now insurmountable obstacle for Turkey to get its no-fly zone is, predictably, Russia.

Using the Turkmen

Who are the Turkmen? Here we need to plunge back into ancient Silk Road history. There are roughly 200,000 Turkmen living in northern Syria. They are descendants of Turkmen tribals who moved into Anatolia in the 11th century.

Turkmen villages also sprout north of Idlib province, west of Aleppo, as well as north of Latakia province, west of Idlib. And it’s here where we find a rarely discussed bunch: a gaggle of Turkmen militias.

The myth of innocent Turkmen civilians being slaughtered by the “Assad regime” is, well, a myth. In Washington these militias are considered “moderate rebels” – as much as they have merged with all sorts of jihadi or jihadi-gobbled outfits, from the ever pliable construct Free Syrian Army to Jabhat al-Nusra, a.k.a. al-Qaida in Syria (which Vienna finally branded a terrorist group).

The bottom line is that Turkey and Russia simply cannot be part of the same coalition fighting the Islamic State group because their objectives are diametrically opposed.

Predictably, Turkish media hails all these Turkmen as “freedom fighters,” a la Ronald Reagan in the 1980s jihad Afghan. Turkish media spins the whole of their territory is controlled by an “innocent” Turkmen opposition, and not the Islamic State group. Not the Islamic State group, yes, but mostly al-Nusra, which is virtually the same thing.

For Russia, there’s no distinction, especially because a gaggle of Chechens, Uzbeks and Uyghurs (Chinese intel is on it) have sought harbor among these “moderates.” For Russia what matters is to smash any possibility of a future 900 km-long Jihad Highway between Aleppo and Grozny.

And that explains the Russian bombing of northern Latakia province. Ankara, predictably, went ballistic. The Foreign Ministry had even threatened Russia only a few days ago; the “Russian side’s actions were not a fight against terror, but they bombed civilian Turkmen villages and this could lead to serious consequences.”

Ankara directly supports Turkmen militias with humanitarian aid but what really counts are weapons; truck deliveries controlled by the MIT – Turkish intelligence.

This all fits into the ruling AKP party mythology of defending even pre-Ottoman populations; after all they always provided “good services” to Islam. Syrian Turkmen are as pious as the AKP leadership in Ankara.

The plot thickens

For Russia, the area known as Turkmen Mountain, or heights – which Turks call Bayirbucak – north of Latakia province, is a major target. Because that’s where we find the Weapon Highway – through which Ankara, side by side with the CIA, weaponizes these militias.

For Russia, any possibility of militias allied with Salafis and Salafi-jihadis trying to make a push to conquer overwhelmingly Alawite Latakia province is a red line because this would threaten Russia’s airbase at Khmeimim and eventually even the port of Tartus.

So essentially we have CIA weaponizing – those famous TOW anti-tank missiles – using a smuggling route through Turkmen territory which happens to be an al-Qaeda in Syria-run Ankara power base. This is prime territory for U.S., Turkey and Saudi Arabia to undermine Damascus, and most of all prime proxy war territory: NATO (U.S.-Turkey) against Russia.

The CIA spins the TOWs go to 45 “vetted” – thus “moderate rebel” – outfits. Nonsense; the weapons have been seized by the more experienced jihadis of al-Qaida in Syria, as well as the nebulae known as the Army of Conquest, supported by Saudi Arabia.

So to smash Jabhat al-Nusra and the Army of Conquest for good, Russia started to bomb the Turkmen smugglers, which are hardly “moderates;” they are infiltrated all over by Turkish Islamo-fascists – such as the ones who machine-gunned Russian pilot Lt. Col Oleg Pershin as he was parachuting, a war crime according to the Geneva Conventions.

The stakes for Russia couldn’t be heavier because by using Turkmen tribals, Turkey is already planted deep inside northern Syria.

So expect Russia to substantially increase bombing of Turkmen areas – way beyond just a reprisal for the killing of the Russian pilot.

Elsewhere, Russia has plenty of other options

– as in further weaponizing the YPG; that would allow them to finally take over the stretch of the border between Afryn and Jarablus that is still controlled by the Islamic State group. Ankara will be apoplectic if Syrian Kurds unite their so far unconnected territory in what they call Rojava.

The bottom line is that Turkey and Russia simply cannot be part of the same coalition fighting the Islamic State group because their objectives are diametrically opposed.

Istanbul-based historian Cam Erimtan outlines the big picture:

“Turkey’s new government took the reins on the same day the Russian jet was downed. And now the wily Prime Minister Davutoglu and the unwieldy President Erdogan are engaging in damage control and domestic mobilization, for the moment even dropping their favored rhetoric of Islamic solidarity and playing the nationalist card to the full. Even though the military action will no doubt lead to huge gains in domestic popularity, the economic consequences have already started to be felt, with Russia curbing the import of Turkish goods. This may indicate that the AKP-led government solely acted as NATO’s lackey, ignoring the realities on the ground and reveling in boisterous grandstanding.”

The grandstanding won’t last long because Russia will react in a cold, calculated, swift, multi-pronged and unexpected way to the downing of the Su-24.

The Russian missile cruiser Moskva – crammed with air defense systems – is now covering the whole region. Two S-400 systems will cover all of northwest Syria and the southern Turkish border. Russia is able to electronically jam the whole of southern Turkey. There’s no way Erdogan will have his EU-paid “safe zone” inside Syria unless he goes to war against Russia.

What’s certain is that Russia’s number one priority from now on is to smash Turkey’s extremist strategy in northern Syria for good.

Pepe Escobar


Did Washington Just Tell Erdogan to ‘Man Up’?



By Finian Cunningham



November 27, 2015 “Information Clearing House” – “RT” – In the space of a few hours, Turkish President Recep Tayyip Erdogan went from running scared to defiant belligerence over the shooting down of the Russian fighter jet. It would appear that someone had a stiff word in his ear.

Tough-talking Turkish President? No. More like somebody’s message boy.



When the news first broke on Tuesday that Turkish F-16s had downed a Russian Su-24 bomber near the Syrian border, the Erdogan government in Ankara immediately called for an emergency NATO summit.



Ankara rushed to explain that it was the party that had incurred an act of aggression from Russia. Erdogan was running scared because the facts were such that it was the Turks who had actually carried out an act of aggression against Russia, not the other way around.



And they knew it.



Suspiciously, Ankara did not contact Moscow about the incident, which would have seemed a normal thing to do in the aftermath of a serious incident in which a Russian aircrew was forced to eject and one of the pilots was subsequently killed.



Recall that Turkey claimed that it did not know the identity of the Russian warplane as it allegedly approached Turkish airspace. So if, as it turned out, the Turks shot down a Russian jet in a rapid encounter of uncertainty about its “national security”, then why didn’t Ankara make subsequent attempts to resolve the matter with the Russians as an urgent matter when the circumstances soon became clear? That would have been the expected behavior if the incident was simply an unfortunate, unforeseen confrontation.



Again, the inference is that Ankara knew full well that it was committing a sinister deed.



As noted, Ankara hastily conferred with NATO, rather than Moscow. That act alone of running off to NATO suggests that the Turks were well aware from the outset that they had carried out something underhand against Russia, and they were hurriedly seeking a line of protection from the US-led military alliance.



The day after the incident, Erdogan and his Prime Minister Ahmet Davutoglu were seriously back-pedaling over the whole incident. The Turkish version of the confrontation appeared to be unraveling from a lack of credibility with several anomalies in terms of the flight path of the Russian fighter jet. Even Western sources were beginning to acknowledge that Moscow’s version of the incident was correct in the details that the Russian jet did not cross the Syrian border.



The unsettling conclusion beckoned: the Russian jet was hit unlawfully by the Turks.



Erdogan was busily saying through Wednesday that he did not want an escalation of the conflict between Turkey and Russia. Davutoglu was even more craven, saying, in pleading tones, that “Russia is a friend and a neighbor.” Ankara’s foreign ministry sounded abject by almost begging for Moscow not to cut off supplies of natural gas on which Turkey depends for 60 per cent of its fuel consumption.



Then came a sudden, dramatic gear-change in Ankara. On Thursday, Erdogan sounded a markedly different, more belligerent tone, more in line with the initial event of the shooting down. Maybe it was because Moscow had said that Russia was not contemplating going to war with Turkey over the downed jet. But Erdogan appeared to become emboldened in contrast to his sheepish conduct over the preceding 24 hours.



The Turkish president said that his country would not be offering an apology to Russia over the downed jet and the loss of its pilot, as well as the death of a Russian marine soldier killed by militants while trying to rescue the second airman where the Su-24 bomber came down in northern Syria. Erdogan instead upped the defiant rhetoric and implied that Russia should be the one to offer an apology for its alleged infringement of Turkish territory, even though the evidence points to the opposite.



Erdogan also spoke publicly on Thursday to rubbish Russian accusations that Turkey is financing the Islamic State (IS) and other jihadist groups through sales of crude oil. The Turkish leader, moreover, claimed that Turkey’s “fight against IS is indisputable” and he asserted that only the US-led military coalition, which includes Ankara, is combating terror groups in Syria. Russia and Iran are not waging a fight against the IS network, claimed Erdogan, implying that they are merely propping up their ally – the government of Syrian President Bashar al Assad.



Erdogan told France 24 news channel that he tried to phone Russian President Vladimir Putin about the downing of the jet, but that Putin did not take his call. Earlier, Moscow had bitterly remarked that it had not received any communication from Ankara over the incident.



So what happened, whereby Erdogan and his ruling clique appeared to go through a remarkable shift in attitude in the space of a few hours? From pugnacious to pusillanimous and back to pugnacious almost overnight.



Assuming that the shooting down was approved at the highest level of the Ankara government in circumstances that merit the description of an act of aggression or even war against Russia, that was certainly a bold, recklessly daring move. However, for the next 24 hours, Ankara appeared to have been overcome with trepidation about what it has just done. But then Erdogan seemed to acquire some backbone from somewhere by resuming a truculent attitude towards Russia.



The erratic behavior points to Erdogan and his cronies in Ankara not being in control of their own conduct. Of course, we can only speculate at this stage. But let’s make the reasonable conjecture that Ankara carried out the aerial ambush of the Russian jet in a cold-blooded, premeditated way, as Russian Foreign Minister Sergei Lavrov has said.



Let’s also conjecture, reasonably, that the deliberate act of aggression was carried out with the collusion of the United States, which operates a NATO base in Turkey’s Hatay Province adjacent to the Syrian border where the incident occurred.



It makes sense that Washington sanctioned the aerial ambush knowing that the resulting geopolitical tension would scupper moves elsewhere from French President Francois Hollande for the formation of a broader anti-IS coalition to include the participation of Russia.



Why the US is not serious about forming such a coalition, indeed is implacably opposed to it, is because Islamic State and other jihadist mercenaries are a covert creation of the US and its NATO allies, including Turkey, for the objective of regime change in Syria.



Thus, Erdogan’s Turkey carried out the dirty deed against Russia under US authorization. But in the immediate aftermath, Ankara evidently got cold feet about what it had just done, no doubt fearing the wrath of Russia. That’s when Washington got on to Erdogan and told him to grow some balls. Hence the apparent turnaround feistiness out of Ankara in the space of 24 hours.



Which just goes to show that Erdogan, for all his tough talk, is really nothing more than a pathetic, sniveling little message boy for his boss in Washington.



Erdogan Establishes No-Fly Zone Over Syria



…..Turkey’s Erdogan renews call for creation of secure, no-fly zone in Syria – Nov 11 2015

ANKARA, Turkey – Turkish President Recep Tayyip Erdogan has renewed a call for the creation of a no-fly zone in Syria that would allow refugees to return to their homeland.



Only a few weeks ago Erdogan’s long desired no-fly zone looked increasingly possible. But then the guardsman passed by.





Caught in the act Erdogan is now compelled to install the desired no-fly zone over Syria. For Turkish jets.



Turkey suspends Syria flights after crisis with Russia – Nov 27 2015

The Turkish army has suspended flights over Syria as part of an ongoing joint military campaign with the United States against the Islamic State of Iraq and the Levant (ISIL) after it shot down a Russian jetfighter, sparking an unprecedented crisis between Ankara and Moscow.



The decision was taken following the eruption of the crisis with Russia in which a Turkish F-16 downed a Russian warplane early Nov. 24 after it allegedly violated Turkish airspace, according to diplomatic sources.

Syrian Turkmen Commander Who Killed Russian Pilot Turns Out to Be Turkish Ultranationalist

A Syrian rebel commander who boasted of killing a Russian pilot after Turkey downed the Russian jet on Tuesday appeared to be Turkish ultranationalist and a son of former mayor in one of Turkish provinces.



Alparslan Celik, deputy commander of a Syrian Turkmen brigade turned out to be the son of a mayor of a Keban municipality in Turkey’s Elazig province, RT reported.



He also turned out to be the member of The Grey Wolves ultranationalist group, members of which have carried out scores of political murders since 1970s.



Celic came under spotlight after he announced that as the two Russian pilots descended by parachute after the Su-24 jet was downed by Turkish military, both were shot dead by Turkmen forces on Tuesday.



A graphic video posted earlier on social media purported to show a Russian pilot lying on the ground surrounded by a group of armed militants.



Russia to Launch ‘Total Destruction’ Operations against ISIL in Syria

Russia plans to launch imminent ‘Total Destruction’ operations against the ISIL terrorists in Syria, media sources revealed on Saturday.



The Egyptian al-Youm al-Sabe’ news website said in a report Russia has vowed continued fight against terrorists in Syria using its warships and has demanded the Iraqi government to suspend flights in the two provinces of Erbil and Sulaymaniyah to protect passenger flights given the intensified conflicts in Northern Iraq which is adjacent to Syria and the Turkish fighter jets’ violation of the region’s airspace under the pretext of bombing the PKK positions.



The news website quoted Russia’s TASS news agency as reporting that Moscow will soon launch massive operations codenamed ‘Total Destruction’ against the terrorists using 69 Sukhoi fighter jets, Tupolev 160 bombers, submarines and warships deployed in the Mediterranean Sea.



Iraq had on November 22 suspended flights in the two Northern provinces for 48 hours.



Meantime earlier reports also said that Russia has deployed S-400 missile defense systems in Syria. The Moskva guided missile cruiser outfitted with S-300F Fort anti-air systems also took position off the coast of Lattakia; a move that many political and military analysts see as the start of Moscow’s response to NATO following the downing of its bomber by Turkey over Syria.



Russia launched its own air campaign against the extremists in Syria on September 30 at the request of Damascus.

Syrian Army Taking Back Lattakia Territories from Terrorists at Mach Speed

Russian Missile Cruiser Moskva Arrives at Lattakia Coast in Syria

URGENT: Militants Withdraw from More Lands in Syria’s Lattakia Province

URGENT: Syrian Forces, Allies Launch Quayratayn Liberating Operation in Homs

URGENT: Gov’t Forces Win Back Two More Villages in Syria’s Aleppo

Turkish F-16 Flies in Syrian Airspace for 40 Seconds before Firing at Russian Su-24M



Source: http://blogdogcicle.blogspot.com/2015/11/isis-update-11282015-no-fly-zone-for.html


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