Your Sunday Morning Weekly Poll Results: Scary Gary, Mike Schmike, Darn Don, and the Email Female

It’s July 24, and this is your Sunday morning weekly poll round-up and public opinion prognastification! It’s too early for a convention bump (it won’t be much), but not too early for a VP bump (there wasn’t one), and too late for more email fallout damage (sort of.) The race is so tight this week, but at least one person is doing surprisingly well. First, though, we have to get the numbers. Therefore …

Here we go.

The Reuters/Ipsos Daily tracking on Trump vs. Clinton (animated GIF):

The only one that might show the convention bounce, if early, is the daily tracking, and as you can see, over the course of the week Donald Trump rises by about 3 points while Secretary Hillary Clinton drops 4. That’s a seven point shift that nevertheless still leaves Clinton firmly in the lead.

Another significant narrowing in the ABC/WaPo that shows Hillary ahead by 4 now, down from 12.

As Dan points out, this includes Hillary losing ground among women. That’s a shifting of the earth in Hillary land that is a bad sign among their most certain demographic.

Posted just ahead of the convention, it’s another poll where Clinton remains in the lead, but the overall numbers haven’t changed very much.

And with the third parties:

This is best explained by CNN:

Little has changed in overall support for either candidate since the end of the primaries in mid-June, despite major moments in the campaign including Donald Trump’s announcement of Indiana Gov. Mike Pence as his running mate, Clinton’s endorsement by her main rival for the Democratic nomination, Vermont Sen. Bernie Sanders, and the announcement by the FBI that Clinton would not face charges for her use of a personal email server while secretary of state.

But one candidate has made gains since last month: Libertarian Gary Johnson. In a four-way matchup between Clinton, Trump, Johnson and Green Party candidate Jill Stein, Clinton carries 42%, Trump 37%, Johnson 13% and Stein 5%. That represents almost no change for either Clinton or Trump, but a 4-point bump for Johnson.

Gary Johnson’s star continues to rise.

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