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Electoral College Snapshot Doesn’t Look Good For Trump

Tuesday, October 25, 2016 17:54
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The Fox Business Channel tweeted out their current assessment of the electoral map and it doesn’t look good for Donald Trump.

One of the more shocking aspects of the map is that Texas is only “leaning” Republican according to the Fox aggregate poll. The “scorecard” presents a snapshot where Clinton has 307 electoral votes and Trump only has 174. If that is accurate then even if he managed to win all the remaining “toss up” states, Trump still can’t win.

Trump has resorted to claiming polls are rigged against him, presumably to encourage his supporters to still get out there and vote. Rigged or not, the campaign has conceded that they are behind.

This election cycle has been volatile to say the least so it feels premature to predict an outcome, even if a Clinton victory seems more probable right now. Matt Vespa at explains why the Trump campaign isn’t throwing in the towel yet.

There is one theory that Trump’s campaign seems to be hedging on, which is that there’s a swath of voters who don’t like to be polled, and if a firm contacts them—these voters tell lies to protect themselves. It’s a fear Democratic pollsters have this cycle, that the people they poll, like the one’s saying they’re either voting for or leaning towards Hillary Clinton, are really voting for Trump. It’s our version of the shy Tory theory, in which the 1992 election in the U.K. projected a Labour win, only to end with the Conservatives winning the most votes ever cast in a British election. It’s impossible to gauge, but if this is the case, it shows how embarrassing these two candidates are for voters for either party.

That scenario is certainly possible but it seems like a potential Trump victory is hanging by a slim thread. In 2012 many didn’t believe the polls for similar reason. They believed some voters were reluctant to say they weren’t voting to reelect the first black president. In the end Obama won by an even wider margin.


The post Electoral College Snapshot Doesn’t Look Good For Trump appeared first on RedState.


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Total 4 comments
  • desertspeaks

    FYI the RNC and the DNC corrupted and RIGGED elections when they placed their rnc/dnc agents “elected officials for each party” in states, who choose the electors, who are party affiliated agents! Electors have their marching orders from THEIR PARTY!
    BOTH the rnc/dnc are PRIVATE CORPORATIONS!

    Where within the Constitution is the authority for PRIVATE CORPORATIONS to choose the electors for the electoral college??


  • TruthandFreedom

    Texas election official refuse to let people vote via paper ballots nor provide them confirmation receipts of their votes!

  • JKnTX

    I hate to break this to you RedSlut, but I actually live here, and what you are saying about Texas is total BS.

  • Bunker Radio

    Redslut is nothing more than a propaganda mill doing hit pieces on Trump. Supposedly acting as a conservative news and views outlet, where nothing is truthful. We might wonder if they are taking money from Hillary?

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