ISIS update 10/23/2016..Iraqi forces close in on Mosul; only 5Km away

Iraqi forces close in on Mosul; only 5Km away

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Mosul op drone view

Mosul, Kirkuk, Aleppo – Colonel Cassad

1. Mosul.

1. US offensive on Mosul and Co. is developing quite successfully, but we are not talking about a collapse of the front fighters, the Caliphate everywhere resists and goes to town with fights. According to statements of the Iraqi and US sources, since the beginning of the offensive fighters lost about 400-450 dead. According to militants attacking lost about 200-220 dead (mostly as a result of suicide attacks). At current rates of occurrence, a direct assault on Mosul due to start in late October, in early November. Storm it will be the Iraqi army, the Kurds of the Peshmerga and US troops and NATO. Turkey also wanted to take part in the assault, but received an official refusal of the Iraqi government, which continues to hysteria over the fact that the Turks are in northern Iraq without the express consent of Baghdad.

2. The United States is certainly not averse to implement a plan unofficial agreement with the Caliphate, that he surrendered and retreated to Mosul to Syria, and did so even before the US elections. All of this scheme reminds secret negotiations with the US and Britain, Hitler’s Germany in 1945, where one of the topics of the talks was the surrender of the West Front and the concentration of all efforts Wehrmacht against the Red Army. Apparently among the “black” found clues (given that the genesis of LIH not surprising) and local “Karl Wolf” has received some promises.

But apparently that occurred leak (at the local “Karl Wolf” found his “Stirlitz”) revealed that behind the scenes, with the result that the plot was discovered, and a few dozen involved were executed. Thus, the radicals of the Caliphate leadership have shown that it is not ready to play in the American game.

3. Apparently, here played a role intelligence one of the countries uninterested in the implementation of such a plan of the Americans. For information on the channels could receive Iranian, Turkish or Russian intelligence and then legalize it, to open before the tip of the Caliphate fact secret negotiations behind her. Judging by the reaction of the bosses of the Caliphate and the massacres that followed for leaking his role perfectly played and the likelihood that militants throw Mosul and go to Syria severely diminished in my opinion. In practice, this translates into a significant resistance to the coalition forces, mass killings in Mosul (in view of the conspirators were executed in the last week more than 350 people were executed in Mosul). Well, to put a spoke in the wheel opponents Khilafah carried out the attack on Kirkuk.

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Mosul, Kirkuk, Aleppo – Colonel Cassad

2. Kirkuk.

1. Force equivalent reinforced battalion, struck the fragile edge position at the junction of Peshmerga and the pro-Iranian Shiite police and broke into one of the largest cities in Iraq. In the city, they were supported by local terrorist cells that are connected to the attacks on key buildings in the city and the position of the security forces. In the course of many hours of fighting “black” took several quarters of the city and key buildings, and then they rolled counterattack. The recently relatively peaceful town (except for the attacks) turned street battles in which the Kurds and Iraqis have lost between 85 and 140 people killed. Caliphate lost in battles 58 killed. Were killed and dozens of civilians. At the moment, the Caliphate lost much of the previously captured Kirkuk area, but the complete cleaning of the city from the “black” it does not go. The city suitable reinforcements Peshmerga, which should help to complete the sweep of Kirkuk. Taking into account the balance of forces, coalition forces must purge the city within 1-3 days.

2. This blow was sudden and obviously it completely overslept and local intelligence agencies and US intelligence. Khilafah once again was able to surprise their opponents and deceive their high-tech intelligence. Only the relative weakness of the involved “black” forces will prevent the Kurds from Iraq and the larger trouble. If Khilafah started in Kirkuk a few thousand fighters, he might turn another big city in their outpost, the storm which was fraught with destruction similar to that observed in Ramadi and Fallujah. Well, so, Iraq and Co. apparently escaped with slight shock. It should also be noted that the military command of the Caliphate continued to adhere to the old strategy, when in spite of the unfavorable balance of forces, the troops of the Caliphate at a convenient opportunity to pursue the transition to offensive operations, which often brings a certain success, as opponents of the Caliphate still allow it underestimation.

3. The United States has traditionally bombed the wrong place, covering funeral procession in daquq. Killed dozens of Iraqis, but the US is denied, although there anyone else besides them or their bomb satellites. For RF Belgian bombing north of Aleppo and traditional American “mistakes” became a convenient excuse to fend off the West information campaign related to the bombings of militants in Aleppo. Simple position “Look at yourself!” It proved to be quite effective, as a result, yesterday’s prosecutors now are forced to fend off accusations of war crimes .Vidimo in response to the Russian counterattack, in the framework of an information war going again intensified the theme of “chemical weapons Assad” that he allegedly applied. Prospects for these charges okolonulevoy as him.oruzhie the US and Russia at the time helped to withdraw from Syria. But opponents of the Assad just handicraft him.oruzhie used as against the people of Aleppo and Afrin against the Kurds. But who cares, if the task is to overthrow the “bloody tyrant”.

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Mosul, Kirkuk, Aleppo – Colonel Cassad

1. In the Aleppo continues to remain fairly stable situation. expected humanitarian corridors have not led to a massive exit of militants, so that the resumption of the assault is only a matter of time. During humanitarian pause action CAA pulled to Aleppo, about 4 thousand. People and dozens of pieces of equipment, as reinforcements received squads “Hezbally” (which badly battered in the battles August-October), and Iraqis of “Harakat al-Nudzhba” that are fighting at the front to the south of Aleppo.

Militants however doing the same thing. PAS and “Al-Nusra” announced new efforts to release Aleppo. Called numbers from 1,200 to 1,500 fighters at 10-15 units of armored vehicles, around 35-40 guns and mortars and 20 carts. These forces need to reinforce the fighters in the front area and Ramuseha Laramuna and to strike in the direction surrounded by neighborhoods of Aleppo. I must say that these forces are quite modest – in August Aleppo tried to release the group number from 9 to 12 thousand people.. The difference is more than clearly indicates how much force the militants fell after a bloody meat grinder in Ramusehe and artillery base. Nevertheless, the tactical problems militants put quite capable, so that the Syrians need to give serious consideration to this endeavor, which with proper arresting allow in defensive battles even more militants bleed for a long time depriving them of the possibility to conduct offensive operations. If we return to historical analogies, in Aleppo have increasingly interested in, “when it begins to attack the 12th Army Wreath” and “where Steiner?”.

2. Taking into account the increase in naval group and a probable increase in the air group, in November-December, the Russian Defense Ministry expects the high-intensity combat operations in central and northern Syria. All these military efforts are seen rather it is reasonable to attempt to use the maximum available time window associated with the elections to the United States, which tie the hands of American foreign policy. Americans understand this, but can do little. The failure of the offensive in Hama and the deteriorating situation of militants in Aleppo, deprives them of the ability to quickly influence the situation by military means. A possible attack militants in Aleppo US do not put much hope, by the Kurdish card “Turkish Gambit” was paralyzed, so it is difficult to say that the United States can specifically do to radically change the situation in their favor. It remains to wait and face the Russian finger at Moscow reacts on the principle “A Vaska listens, yes eats.”

3. “An-Nusra” determined to defend itself against the stop and its promotion of this position conveys to most locals and fellow terrorist activities. Currently, more than 60% groups in Aleppo, directly or indirectly, are in operational control of “An-Nusra.” Some militias are either too weak or simply afraid to contradict the “Al-Nusra”, as she has already indicated the killing of civilians and non-persistent fighters who were thinking of surrender or escape from the city. This blocks the possibility to separate the fighters, as here a “United States of goodwill” has little fighters themselves do not want to leave – one for military and political reasons, others for religious. 

Farsnews

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