The latest ABC News/Washington Post tracking poll released Saturday finds that Hillary Clinton’s lead over Donald Trump has shrunk from 12-point advantage among likely voters to just two points. And that’s before Friday’s bombshell that the FBI is reopening its investigation into her emails.
According to Gary Langer, Hillary’s lead over Trump went from 50-38 percent in the tracking poll’s first four days, Oct. 20-23, to a 47-45 percent contest in the latest results.
Independents played a significant role in the shift, as they switched from being in Hillary’s favor by 6 percent to giving Trump a 16-point advantage.
Langer also says that the poll’s stunning shift over the latest four nights compared with the previous four are more about changes in who’s intending to vote rather than people shifting their candidate preference:
Finally, Langer points out that many of these results are not statistically significant taken alone, given the sample sizes — but these small shifts add to the larger trends.
the ABC News/Washington Post tracking poll was conducted between Oct. 24 and Oct. 27 and has a margin of error of plus or minus 3 percent.
Langer’s point about trends and dynamics are key here. You could sense this week that the race was tightening. The sleaze and greed of the Clinton Foundation and Hillary’s pay to play scandal while secretary of state were made more clear by the Clinton Inc. revelations, are now compounded by FBI Director reopening the investigation into Hillary’s infamous use of her private email server. That’s not a good dynamic for The Hillary.
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