It’s October 2, the first Sunday of the month, and that means this is your Sunday Morning roundup of the polls from the last week. A lot of the weekly and monthly polling data does not reflect any debate bump or dip (with some exceptions), but the daily trackers do. So there are some differences there. Nobody is polling Sweet Meteor of Death anymore. I guess the joke is played out. Or maybe people are just sad there’s no sign of it yet.
Either way, here we go.
The Reuters/Ipsos Daily tracking on Trump vs. Clinton (animated GIF):
As you can see there wasn’t a huge change. After the debate, the gap closed from about 6 to about 4 and stayed in that area until Thursday, the last day with data available.
Here’s the same week’s daily polling where the other candidates were included.
Trump vs. Clinton vs. Johnson vs. Stein (animated GIF):
Hillary’s debate dip is a little more pronounced, dropping from a five to a two point lead, as Stein and Johnson pick up about a half point each the next day. Still, as has been the case for most of the year, Trump never gets on top.
Those are the dailies. In the latest weekly from Reuters, Hillary was up by 6 points.
The latest Rasmussen weekly has Trump at his highest point over Hillary since July, leading her by 5 points at 44% to 39%. That’s a shift over the last two polls.
This most recent result came from data collected prior to the debate last week. Which matters, because as you can see, there is a difference when you look at the Rasmussen daily results. In the most recent, from September 30th, the lead has changed to Hillary Clinton at 43% and Donald Trump at 42%. A squeaker, but a definite difference.
This was a three day poll that took place from the day after the debate through the last day of the month. It shows Clinton up by five points, at 49 to 44.
That’s the head-to-head. In the 4-way race it’s closer, with Hillary at 43%, Trump at 40%, Johnson at 8%, and Stein at 4%.
In the four way match-up, they score Clinton +3.2 over Trump, with 41.4 for Hillary, 38.2 for Donald, 7.8 for Gary Johnson, and 3.1 for Jill Stein. That represents a drop for both Hillary and Donald over last week, and a gain for both Johnson and Stein.
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