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Ebola numbers show response is currently inadequate to achieve containment

Saturday, October 11, 2014 16:55

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Global health officials are looking closely at the Ebola Virus “reproduction number,” which estimates how many people, on average, will catch the virus from each person stricken with Ebola. The epidemic will begin to decline when that number falls below one. A recent analysis estimated the number at 1.5 to 2.

To bring the epidemic under control, officials should ensure that at least 70 percent of Ebola-victim burials are conducted safely, and that at least 70 percent of infected people are in treatment, within 60 days, he said

In 60 days there will be about 100,000 cases so there need to be about 70,000 beds. The 17 facilities being built by the US military will be able to handle 1700.

Sierra Leone desperately needs 750 doctors, 3,000 nurses, 1,500 hygienists, counselors and nutritionists.

The reproduction number, or “R nought,” is a mathematical term that tells you how contagious an infectious disease is. Specifically, it’s the number of people who catch the disease from one sick person, on average, in an outbreak.

Source: http://nextbigfuture.com/2014/10/ebola-numbers-show-response-is.html

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