Week 8 NFL Picks Against the Spread (Beazley)

Here are my Week 8 NFL picks against the spread (ATS):

Cincinnati Bengals -6 (over New York Jets)

The Jets have been one of those Jekyl and Hyde-type of teams this season. They start the season off 2-1, and then they get smoked on the road at Tennessee. The Jets looked so bad in that game, that I honestly thought they would struggle to win 1-2 games the rest of the season.

The very next week they shock the world and beat the Falcons on the road. Jets fans start to pop back out of the woodwork, and then they lay an absolute egg at home against the Steelers. This past week, they beat the Patriots in a thriller. I see a trend of win-loss-win-loss etc, and I see that trend continuing on Sunday.

I expect to see the Bengals front-seven dominate against the Jets on Sunday. I think Geno Smith will have his worst game as a pro. I live in New York. I am ready to listen to the NY media bash him on Monday, and call for Matt Simms to replace him. It’s actually quite entertaining.

The Bengals are 4-0 ATS in their last four home games. They make it five on Sunday with a big win, 27-6.

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Detroit Lions -3 (over Dallas Cowboys)

The Dallas defense is very banged up. They might have been able to slow down Nick Foles this past week, but slowing down Matthew Stafford and the high-powered Lions offense on the road is a whole different ball game. I expect to see Stafford attack the Cowboys secondary deep, and I think Stafford is a very undervalued fantasy play this week in daily fantasy leagues.

I do expect this game to be high scoring. The over is 4-0 ATS in their last four meetings, and here is another trend where I see it making it five straight. This is going to be one of those games where the last team to have the ball is going to win. Stafford leads his team on a late scoring drive and the Lions win, 37-31.

New Orleans Saints -11.5 (over Buffalo Bills)

I love the Saints at home this week versus the Bills. The Bills will be without RB C.J. Spiller this week, and Fred Jackson is still not 100 percent from a knee injury. The Saints defense is better than people think, and I think QB Thaddeus Lewis is going to be in for a rough afternoon on Sunday.

Saints QB Drew Brees will be getting back one of his most reliable WRs this week in Lance Moore. Moore is my DraftStreet play of the week. I do also expect to see Jimmy Graham back in the lineup as well which should mean another huge week from Brees.

The favorite is 4-0 ATS in the last four meetings, and this is another trend where I see it going 5-0 as the Saints roll at home, 38-17.

Five of our contributors make three weekly picks ATS every week and they will be posted here.

Week 8 fantasy rankings: Quarterbacks – Running Backs – Wide Receivers – Tight Ends

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Source: http://eatdrinkandsleepfootball.com/blog/2013/10/week_8_nfl_picks_against_the_spread_beazley.html