AMBASSADOR JOHN BOLTON is a SERIOUS CANDIDATE for PRESIDENT in 2016 from ALL INDICATIONS!

I do have several John R. Bolton articles I need to review with care but let me start with this observation and a disclaimer:

The observation:  Bolton may be more of a contender than people think.  There are, as I see it,  four groups in the GOP today:

1. Tea Party members – generally interested in the Constitution, abuses of power and spending/tax related issues

2.  Religious social conservatives – while most evangelicals are also social conservatives, they tend to want to hear God talk from their leaders

3. Libertarians – against big government, skeptical on war on drugs. concerned about the Constitution and sovereignty issues but also tend to be social liberals (Ron Paul is a major exception to this question) and non-interventionists (that is NOT isolationism!)

4.  National Security conservatives – tend to be interventionists and are very opposite of libertarians.

Bolton falls into the fourth group of course.  But he can make inroads with libertarians with his skepticism of the UN and his strong stance on sovereignty issues, and his support of gay marriage.  He could also make inroads with Tea Partiers with the sovereignty thesis.  He works for a think tank (The American Enterprise Institute) that likes reduced regulations and is skeptical about issues like Common Core.  He may be able to give a God talk testimony (I am not sure about his religious beliefs actually but he seems not hostile to religion).  I think Bolton is less of an interventionist than he is reputed to.  I also think the gay marriage issue will be decided by the courts by then and will be a dead issue.  Bolton looks like a prophet on this.  I think he can be acceptable to all four groups and that might be the winning hand for 2016.

I want to write more on Bolton.  Now for the disclaimer:  I would support Bolton and have sent my materials to him to help him with his campaign.  If that happens, we’ll disclose it right away.  I think it would be fun in early 2016 for Sandy to be trudging through cold Iowa trying to get Ron Paul and Mike Huckabee and Tea Party supporters to vote Bolton.  Lots of blog material and maybe I’ll get over the midlife crisis caused by writing about Savid Javid…