The final installment of the economy-based Moody’s Analytics election model ahead of the Nov. 8 election is predicting an easy win for Democrat Hillary Clinton.
Moody’s model has successfully predicted the outcome of every race since Ronald Raegan’s 1980 victory.
As CNN reported:
Clinton is expected to get 332 electoral votes, while Trump is predicted to get just 206, according to the Moody’s Analytics model, which is based on three economic and three political factors.
Overall, the U.S. is growing and that favors Clinton. Most Americans can feel their pocketbooks getting better. Moody’s predicts key swing states — Florida, Ohio, Colorado and Pennsylvania — all going blue this year.
But here’s what really tips the model heavily toward Clinton: Cheap gas and President Obama’s high approval rating.
Obama’s approval ratings hit a record high of 55 percent early this month, likely thanks to the unsavory tenor of the election currently unfolding.
And the mood of the election could upset the Moody’s model this year, its economists admit.
“Given the unusual nature of the 2016 election cycle to date, it is very possible that voters will react to changing economic and political conditions differently than they have in past election cycles, placing some risk in the model outcome, particularly state-by-state projections,” said Dan White, a Moody’s economist, told The Hill.
White concluded: “These are no generic candidates, a fact likely to keep us all on our toes well into the evening of Nov. 8.”
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