58 Senate Seats for the GOP?
M. Joseph Sheppard / American Thinker
A substantial number of political prognosticators, including the likes of the highly respected Nate Silver’s 538.com blog, give the Republicans a substantial chance of not only picking up senate seats in November, but of getting at least 51 and thus a working majority (50 seats would see a tie with Vice-President Biden giving the Dem’s a majority).
Where the seers differ is not only the percentage probability of the Republicans gaining control of the senate, just how many seats the GOP will end up with. This is where the tracking poll sites like Real Clear Politics and Electoral-Vote.com come to the fore.
Their weekly, or even daily, results as to which party is leading in the contestable states varies according to the most recent polls they track but for some considerable time the GOP has been in a majority, or near majority situation.
RCP gives the GOP 52 seats, one above the required number for a majority based on seven pickups. These include South Dakota, West Virginia and Montana, all three of which even the most partisan Democratic Party support sites have given up on. That takes a more or less guaranteed floor for the GOP of 48 seats (from the current 45).
Read more American Thinker:
http://www.americanthinker.com/2014/09/58_senate_seats_for_the_gop_.html#ixzz3CAWzd1Zr
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A Republican majority in the Senate will definitely be a step in the right direction, but it will take a conservative majority to make any real difference. It will take a majority of senators who will not violate their oaths. It will take a majority of senators who will abide by the Constitution. It will take a majority of senators who will do their duty as senators.
…And there is little supporting evidence that the members of the Republican Party by and large have any interest in giving more than lip service to any of these things.
My money and my vote goes to conservative candidates. I will never hold my nose so that I can keep from vomiting while I vote for a “Republican” again.
If the Republicans want the conservative vote, they should consider conservative candidates. If they want the liberal vote, they should stop the charade and run as Democrats.