Astrophysics v Meteorology (Piers Corbyn v Met Office) - Round 1
Article Tags: Met Office, Piers Corbyn, Solar Climate Change
The above is a snapshot of the expected weather in the UK as per forecast from the Met Office (http://www.metoffice.gov.uk/weather/uk/uk_forecast_warnings.html?day=2) starting from Wednesday 16th January, issued on Monday 14th January.
Using their hi-tec website, this 3-5 day Met Office forecast indicates there is nothing to worry about, otherwise it would be coloured, and as you can see it’s plain or if you like “un-shaded”, indicting for the time of the year they expect “normal January weather”, that is in contrast to the 1-2 day forecast I have posted below, it is shaded and includes a level 3 warning due to the below average cold weather and snow etc.
Those of you who have seen the forecast for this period, issued from WeatherAction.com by Piers Corbyn at the end of December (that’s right, “end of December”) would have noticed that Piers is expecting this period to be one of his highest solar ratings of the year, an R5+, and it takes place from Wednesday 16th and ends on the 17th. Then allowing for one or two days for the Earth’s climate to “process” this event (that’s “cause and effect” to you and me) there should be a noticeable climatic event in the UK and indeed around the world taking place by the end of the week.
As you can see from the above forecast, solar events are NOT processed as a variable by the Met Office as they would have put up some sort of warning for the next few days. These solar events, as they say, are not on their radar. And there lies the argument that has frustrated the industry for so long, how does the Earth’s climate mechanism work in conjunction with the output of the Sun?
The first problem is, when is there expected to be such an event on the Sun so it can be monitored with changes to the Earth’s climate. Well, as far as I know those who do know are ignored in this respect, and sadly Piers Corbyn is one of them
So, how can we progress with this issue to try and measure the influence of solar activity on the climate. We know it exists as we have had nearly 50 years of extra solar activity starting form the 1950′s that gave us a warmer “climate change”, we can see from the result of this how confused the industry has become, as warmer “climate change” has been confused with co2 levels.
I have read as much as I want to read at so called scientific blogs like Anthony Watts website WUWT, and all they talk about is theory, well here is a fantastic opportunity for us to use some “practice”.
There IS something special going on this week, so for the sake of argument, lets call it a “live experiment” between Astrophysics and Meteorology.
Who knows about it…. nobody…. Do the Met Office want to know about it?….Do scientific blogs like Anthony Watts WUWT want to know about it? And the reason they don’t want to know…..it’s never been done before so it cant be true……it’s “way out there theory” …..
Please try to follow these events this week and see for yourself if Piers Corbyn has found a way to identify these Solar periods that make changes to our climate….I hope we all learn something very important by the end of the week as a result of this forecast…end of rant
2013-01-14 08:32:49
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