Kolanovic Unveils His 2018 Outlook: The “Frogs Are Almost Boiled” So Start Hedging
zerohedge.com / by Tyler Durden / Dec 14, 2017 3:24 PM
Barely two months after JPMorgan’s Marko Kolanovic previewed the next financial crisis, which he dubbed the “Great Liquidity Crisis”, and which would be catalyzed by the following liquidity disrupting elements:
- Decreased AUM of strategies that buy value assets
- Tail risk of private assets
- Increased AUM of strategies that sell on “autopilot”
- Liquidity-provision trends
- Miscalculation of portfolio risk
- Valuation excesses
… the quant wizard is back in a more conventional form, this time summarizing JPM’s 2018 outlook for equities, volatility and tail risk.
Starting at the top, it may seem otherwise paradoxical – although in the new normal nothing surprises any more – that JPM which holds a near apocalyptic long-term forecast for the world in a derivative context, is also the bank with the highest 2018 S&P target among its bank peers. Here’s Kolanovic:
The post Kolanovic Unveils His 2018 Outlook: The “Frogs Are Almost Boiled” So Start Hedging appeared first on Silver For The People.
Source: http://silveristhenew.com/2017/12/14/kolanovic-unveils-his-2018-outlook-the-frogs-are-almost-boiled-so-start-hedging/
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