PETER SCHIFF: We are Headed for RECESSION!
Peter Schiff, economist and CEO of Euro Pacific Capital, reports on the 4 economic reports that came out. The lamestream media is only reporting on the one good report – the Nonfarm Payroll Job numbers, which are actually not good, if you dig beneath the surface.
Schiff says, “Jim Kramer of CNBC said the jobs numbers were an ‘economic miracle’! Yet 3 out of the 4 reports that came out were bad.”
The first report was the ‘Nonfarm Payroll Jobs’. “We got 320,000 jobs, which is really not that strong considering the size of our economy and the number of people. More than half of the jobs were low paying jobs: secretarial, waiters, waitresses, retail, leisure and hospitality and temporary services.”
3 out of 4 economic reports came out bad, yet the lamestream media is shouting – Hooray! The economy is roaring full steam ahead!
“‘The Household Survey’ portion of the jobs report showed that there was no increase in jobs and 150,000 decrease in full time jobs. The big job losers went to young people ages 16-24. You had a record number of people 55 and over entering the workforce.
I believe that a lot of these jobs have to do with a robust Christmas season, that businesses are gearing up for.
A lot of economic data over the last several months has been bad. Of the 4 pieces of economic data that came out today, 3 out of 4 were bad. The media grasps onto the one good report and ignores all the bad reports. “
The second report was ‘The Trade Deficit’ which “came in at 43.4 Billion, which is much bigger than the expected number of 41 Billion. At one point in the 1980s the Trade numbers were big news. But no one cares today. This is going to take down the fourth quarter GDP numbers.”
The third report was the ‘Factory Orders’. “We were looking at a drop of .3 . Instead the drop was .7 . So factory orders declined by more than twice what they were forecasted. This is the 3rd consecutive month we have seen a decline in ‘factory orders’.”
The fourth report was the ‘October Consumer Credit’. ”People were looking for an expansion of consumer credit to $16.8 Billion. Instead, it dropped all the way down to $13.2 Billion. The prior month was reduced from $15.9 Billion to $15.4.
Consumers can’t spend unless they have credit because they don’t have the incomes and need to borrow money. This data point explains why the holiday sales were down 11% over the Thanksgiving weekend.
The cost of living is going way up, and their wages are not.”
“The U.S. economy is headed to a recession, which means we’re going to get more QE [quantitative easing], not a rate hike; READ THE REST OF THE STORY HERE….
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