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July, 2019 Seasonal Forecasts. Part II, NOAA Comparison With JAMSTEC

Sunday, June 23, 2019 4:17

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Written by Sig Silber

We published the NOAA Long-Term Forecast Friday Night and it can be accessed here. In Part II (this post), we compare the NOAA forecast for Alaska and CONUS with the JAMSTEC forecast and also attempt to provide some explanation for the differences. The differences in the weather forecasts appear to be related to small differences in the El Nino forecast and how the western displacement of this El Nino was dealt with by the models and the forecasters. Our report provides the JAMSTEC forecasts for the whole World. In parts of the world, the interaction between the IOD and the EL Nino are important and JAMSTEC is experienced in that area. In our report, we also pay special attention to Europe.

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