Labour’s new climate change minister has demanded a ban on fracking.
Danielle Rowley, who has been appointed as shadow climate justice and green jobs minister, also wants to see more onshore wind turbines and free bus travel for under-25s.
The Midlothian MP plans to meet climate change activists, including the climate school strikers, to formulate Labour policy.
I don’t do many climate change posts – lack of time, public interest has waned and there are many good sources out there. However the madness has long been mainstream so it is perhaps worth a few simple standpoints in a series of occasional mostly non-technical posts, this being the first.
The climate change story is unscientific.
It is unscientific because it is not falsifiable and so violates
Karl Popper’s dictum that scientific theories must in principle be falsifiable. Popper’s dictum is about as close as we get to defining good science. Move away from it and we encounter the killer question – if even in principle a theory cannot be falsified then what difference does it make whether it is valid or invalid?
The key words here are in principle. In principle it is possible to imagine how the climate change story could be falsified. Unambiguous global cooling would falsify it. In which case the climate faithful should be delighted that we have made a major breakthrough in understanding our climate and corrected a scientific error. We can forget the wind turbines and solar panels, discard all the climate baggage and focus on staying warm in winter. Sack the climate scientists and the environmental journalists, laugh at the politicians, sack the Climate Justice Minister and close down the BBC –
It isn’t likely is it? Would the climate faithful admit they had been wrong all along? Or would they claim that the cooling would have been worse if it wasn’t for the warming we cause? To my mind falsification is not part of the official narrative and this is where we spot the unscientific nature of it – there is absolutely no interest in falsification.
This is a social and political judgement though, not a scientific question. Judge the people and the institutions. Judge the politics. It’s a matter of opinion. Your choice.
Yet in spite of this key weakness, the climate change story attracts scientific support as well as political opportunism. Maybe we should not surprised and we should remember that scientists are human. In real life an abstract principle such as falsifiability is not as important as a career, paying the mortgage, getting papers published, attracting students, virtue signalling or attracting funding. The falsifiable nature of good science may be crucially important in the long term, but it still an abstract principle and in climate science long term is somewhere over the horizon. Ignoring the principle when convenient to do so – that is just how we are.
We cannot prove that the climate change story is not falsifiable, but anyone with any kind of background can judge the point for themselves. That’s the attraction of this approach. The basis of the whole climate debate is nothing more than a matter of opinion because the scientific nature of the official story is a matter of opinion. Is it falsifiable?
In my judgement the climate change narrative is not intended to be falsifiable and is therefore a pseudoscientific fraud. It is pseudoscientific because it is not falsifiable and fraud because this crucial defect has been obvious for years. But we should not be surprised at its success and we should not be surprised if the success continues until a more rewarding fraud comes along. Consensus is more rewarding than principle. Distant horizons keep things that way.
Source:
https://akhaart.blogspot.com/2019/06/distant-horizons.html
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