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Central banks, when targeting, should start by making sure they are targeting the correct target; and the last thing they should do, is to promote distortions in the allocation of bank credit.
Wednesday, May 8, 2019 5:04
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Sir, Marie Owens Thomsen writes: “Today, governments tend to run only budget deficits, making them rather structural. This leads to ever-rising debt levels and poses a potential policy dilemma. Thanks to the blissfully low rate of inflation, it is possible to ignore this fact. But should inflation hypothetically shoot up, it would quickly become apparent. Central banks could find themselves unable to raise policy rates enough to combat price increases without causing a debt sustainability crisis at home.” “Central banks need to be less dogmatic on inflation targeting” May 8.
Scary stuff, but even more so when one considers the following:
First, that the targeting of inflation is based on an entirely subjective measure of inflation. Just as an example it is based on the cost of renting houses but not the price of houses.
Then second, the artificially imposed risk weighted bank capital requirements, which among other much favor “safe” sovereign debt over “risky” loans to entrepreneurs and SMEs, is distorting the allocation of bank credit to the real economy, and sends out the wrong interest rate signals. For instance had the EU authorities not assigned a 0% risk weight to all Eurozone sovereigns, even though these were getting indebted in a currency that de facto is not their domestic (printable) one, Greece would never have been able to build up the exposures to German and French banks that doomed it to a crisis.
