Deflating Global Warming Flooding Hype

Drop everything and head for the hills! Climate change is on the verge of flooding 187 million people from their homes!

Oh wait. It’s just the liberal noise machine spewing hysterical propaganda again. Bjorn Lomborg inserts some sanity:

That figure is unrealistic—and it isn’t even new. It appears in a new scholarly paper, whose authors plucked it from a paper published in 2011. What the earlier paper actually found was that 187 million could be forced to move in the unlikely event that, in the next 80 years, no one does anything to adapt to dramatic rises in sea level.

Sea levels, like the climate, have always fluctuated and always will. People adapt, as a species has to.

If we couldn’t assert mastery over sea levels, Holland would hardly exist. Sixty percent of the population lives below sea level. The country largely consists of land reclaimed from the sea.

In real life, the 2011 paper explained, humans “adapt proactively,” and “such adaptation can greatly reduce the possible impacts.” That means “the problem of environmental refugees almost disappears.” Realistic assumptions reduce the number to between 41,000 and 305,000—at most, less than 1/600th of the figure in those headlines.

That is assuming that the sea level actually rises as predicted. It inevitably will rise eventually, but trusting the predictions of the liberal establishment regarding the foreseeable future is hardly a safe bet.

Adapting to rising sea levels with our ever-improving engineering skills makes a lot more sense that trying to control the seas through taxes and regulations — unless of course the taxes and regulations are actually the end and not the means.

On a tip from Varla.

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