1-in-7000 Chances Asteroid 2006 QV89 Strikes Earth September 9, 2019
In the first known case of ruling out an asteroid impact through a ‘non-detection’, ESA and the European Southern Observatory have concluded that asteroid 2006 QV89 is not on a collision course this year – and the chance of any future impact is extremely remote.
Catching a glimpse
Asteroids come and go, quite literally, often frustrating astronomers. You can catch sight of a hurtling space rock, take some measurements to narrow down its orbit, and days later it’s gone – potentially remaining unobservable for decades.
Orbit of asteroid 2006 QV89
In general, when an asteroid is found to have even a tiny chance of impacting Earth, further observations and measurements are taken. These ‘astrometric’ data refine our understanding of the asteroid’s path, improving our understanding of the risk it poses and often excluding any chance of collision altogether.
However, the case of asteroid 2006 QV89 is peculiar. The object was discovered in August 2006 and then observed for only ten days. These observations suggested it had a 1-in-7000 chance of impacting Earth on 9 September 2019.
After the tenth day, the asteroid was unobservable and has not been seen since. Now, after more than a decade, we can predict its position with only very poor accuracy. As a result it is extremely difficult for astronomers to re-observe it, as no one knows exactly where to point a telescope.
Nevertheless, there is a way to obtain the information needed.
Nice to not see you
While we do not know 2006 QV89’s trajectory exactly, we do know where it would appear in the sky if it were on a collision course with our planet. Therefore, we can simply observe this small area of the sky to check that the asteroid is indeed, hopefully, not there.
This way, we have the chance to indirectly exclude any risk of an impact, even without actually seeing the asteroid.
This is precisely what ESA and the European Southern Observatory (ESO) did on 4 and 5 July, as part of the ongoing collaboration between the two organisations to observe high-risk asteroids using ESO’s Very Large Telescope (VLT).
Teams obtained very ‘deep’ images of a small area in the sky, where the asteroid would have been located if it were on track to impact Earth in September.
Nothing was seen.
Credit: ESA
The three red crosses reveal the specific locations, where the asteroid could have appeared as a single, bright, round source, had it been on a collision course.
Even if the asteroid were smaller than expected, at only a few metres across, it would have been seen in the image. Any smaller than this and the VLT could not have spotted it, but it would also be considered harmless as any asteroid this size would burn up in Earth’s atmosphere.
Planetary Defence at ESA
Credit: JAXA, ESO/L. Calçada/M. Kornmesser/Nick Risinger (skysurvey.org)
Find out more about ESA’s work to detect risky asteroids, and one day even to mitigate the risk they pose, here.
Learn all about the potentially hazardous asteroids in the solar system and ESA’s evolving risk list here, and stay up-to-date by signing up for the monthly asteroid newsletter.
Contacts and sources:
University of Barcelona
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id be worried if it was in the taurid meteor stream, that is the meteor stream that is gunna get us……..
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SCENE MARK MATRIX NOAH’S COUSIN XVII and VII
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https://youtu.be/vTr7X42om24; see full blog here,
https://littlemiyagirltopreppers2019.blogspot.com/2019/07/come-into-ark-of-second-heaven.html?m=1
Pastor Hagee Vanish Film
https://youtu.be/aqschLABGKE
Sunday Morning Rapture, Trailer
https://youtu.be/Ivz7mNjn_Xo
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A Real Who Dunit?
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Let No Man Deceive You, Thus Saith Mat 24, Jesus
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The Whole Armor Of God
AMEN, Thanks Christopher, praying for you and yours; speaking of spiritual warfare, May 2004, this ministry was visited by Dan 534, Angel Gabriel saying “all things unto fulfillment, she’s going, coming with a 7th Angel,” see God’s Trump soundings here, I Thess. 4:16-18 and here, Rev 11:15-18; Jan 13 2018,a type of perfect man Jesus asked only hours before Hawaii 38 mins of terror, will Angels also ascend? Then ten Rev 2 Matrix days in, Jan 23-29, 2018, this ministry was visited by Rev 10, mighty Angel, one foot the sea, one foot the earth, US map; and Rev 17, 7th Angel bearing 7 bowls judgements, saying no further delays US soil, desolations predicted come; “beware the Midwest, the Eastern Seaboard as well as US/BC West Pacific; so by the time, Jan 20, 2019, revisiting Trump’s 2017, Inauguration, saying as Bush’s, Obama’s 50 mil would die US soil, we have a Rev 12, Michael battling along a star wars in the heavens: hearing, “Michael is setting his all around,” knowing to bring the Bride up, and obedient American refugees out; God reward you and yours according to your faith. I know, the spirit willing, but the flesh is weak, just remember, Jesus told Lazarus sisters, Saints Christopher don’t die, THEY Rise, THEY ASCEND! Beware, Apb, see here, https://littlemiyagirltopreppers2019.blogspot.com/2019/07/come-into-ark-of-second-heaven.html?m=1