Wars are usually financed by printing currency!
That means that both sides typically experience significant inflation. Inflation tends to decrease the value of the applicable currency, causing the currency to fall.
The war in Israel will have a particularly significant effect on currency.
Prior to the war, the United States was proposing to enter into a strategic alliance with Saudi Arabia. In return, Saudi Arabia would continue to price oil only in U.S. dollars. This would have extended the petrodollar arrangement — and American power — for another five years.
The war in Israel has put the proposed deal on hold. I doubt the deal will ever get done. It is clear that Saudi Arabia’s ruler, Mohammed bin Salman, is disgusted with American / Israeli treatment of the Palestinian people. His feelings appear to be personal, and not just born of politics.
Thus, the Palestinian people have likely put the last nail in the petrodollar system, by bringing world attention to their plight. If MBS kills the alliance with Israel, the petrodollar will go down five years sooner — weakening American and Israeli power.
Perhaps we will finally see peace in the Middle East, when the petrodollar is gone. The Americans have not been good stewards of world peace.
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