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Stimulus Package Faces Financing Difficulties

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President Obama is about to learn that passing a bill is only the start to actually paying for all the items contained in the bill (via Market Oracle)…

However, if people are worried about the creditworthiness of banks, they’re a lot more worried about the U.S. Treasury. The 10-year Treasury bond yield bottomed out at 2.07% on Dec. 17. Wednesday’s closing yield was 2.93%.

Thus, while LIBOR has increased by 14 basis points, or 0.14%, the 10-year Treasury bond yield, which is supposed to be less volatile than short-term rates, has risen by 86 basis points, or 0.86%.

This is not entirely a panic reaction by investors fearful that the U.S. government will go bust (although credit-default-swap spreads on the U.S government debt have widened recently, and are higher than on Germany). It also represents two other factors:

  • www.marketoracle.co.uk/themes/Walsoft/images/sprites.gif); background-repeat: no-repeat; background-attachment: initial; -webkit-background-clip: initial; -webkit-background-origin: initial; background-color: transparent; background-position: 0px 0px; margin: 0px;”>The fear of inflation.
  • www.marketoracle.co.uk/themes/Walsoft/images/sprites.gif); background-repeat: no-repeat; background-attachment: initial; -webkit-background-clip: initial; -webkit-background-origin: initial; background-color: transparent; background-position: 0px 0px; margin: 0px;”>And the increasing difficulty the U.S. Treasury is likely to find in financing its gigantic borrowing requirements.
…one of the biggest issues that will soon surface is the fact that the money spent on the “stimulus” has a negative Return on Investment, it also crowds out the capital needed by private industry.



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