Derivatives a Ticking Time Bomb
Remember Long Term Capital, the hedge fund that failed with $5 billion worth of losses in 1998 that nearly brought down the entire financial system? That’s a quaint memory compared to the over $500 trillion worth of derivatives now floating about the world today…
This is crucial: LTCM nearly killed the system with a relatively small $5 billion trading loss. Peanuts compared with the hundreds of billions of dollars of subprime-credit write-offs now making Wall Street’s big shots look like amateurs.
…so true, but now we’re in the big leagues…
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U.S. annual gross domestic product is about $15 trillion
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U.S. money supply is also about $15 trillion
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Current proposed U.S. federal budget is $3 trillion
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U.S. government’s maximum legal debt is $9 trillion
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U.S. mutual fund companies manage about $12 trillion
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World’s GDPs for all nations is approximately $50 trillion
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Unfunded Social Security and Medicare benefits $50 trillion to $65 trillion
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Total value of the world’s real estate is estimated at about $75 trillion
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Total value of world’s stock and bond markets is more than $100 trillion
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BIS valuation of world’s derivatives back in 2002 was about $100 trillion
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BIS 2007 valuation of the world’s derivatives is now a whopping $516 trillion
…given the size of this, there is going to be no way to bail out derivatives. All the governments on earth don’t have the resources to make a small dent in this problem. You’ve been warned. Read it all.
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