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The Debt Downgrade: What Does it Mean?

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I usually don’t post on weekends, but just wanted to give some quick thoughts on S&P’s downgrade of U.S. government debt. Although the downgrade came a little earlier than expected,  it shouldn’t come as a surprise to anyone.

Generally I think people are overreacting to the debt downgrade. Will stocks collapse to new low? Probably not. Will Treasuries suddenly spike to record highs? I don’t think so. We may have seen a top in bonds last week, but the decline should be pretty orderly for now. The world collectively needs to find alternatives to the dollar and U.S. Treasuries. These kind of things don’t happen overnight.

What this downgrade does signify is that this debt crisis is real. Now our precarious economic situation is known to everyone, including casual observers. Confidence is going down the drain and this is going to create some serious volatility. These are the kind of events that will send gold rocket launching to record highs. The debt crisis is gathering steam and it will be far more destructive than people realize.

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